@shirley71

#140,43885

0x2d3aff42cfc7045533b501c325ae09e11be83658

~123d· 58 markets · 384 tradesVol: $4,8632026-08-04 23:36:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (25/50)10/20
3.46x (win $559 / loss $161)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.85415/15
Sortino 45.18110/10
$+0.5652 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 580 (50 markets)9.6/10
20/39 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($18 / $408)10/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+324
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 7.3 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 4%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#11,930$212Vol: $2,902
₿ CRYPTO#121,343$56Vol: $697
🏛️ POLITICS#1,386,145$-21Vol: $552
📈 ECONOMICS#16,232$62Vol: $501

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$324
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,863
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
263B / 121S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~123d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $5
All Time
$324
Vol: $4,863

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
25W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$324
Win Rate
50%
25W / 25L
Profit Factor
3.46x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $335 (1.0333189495746518% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?$138
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?$124
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?$74
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?$53
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.4% before 2027?$21
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18?$19
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?$19
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?$18
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in April?$15
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?$12

Top Losers

Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?$-63
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$-16
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$-11
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in April?$-10
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$70 in January?$-9
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?$-8
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?$-7
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 18?$-6
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?$-5
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.251
Sortino
2.208
HHI
480
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.592
Kelly %
18.0%
Half-Kelly
9.0%
Top-1 market
10.6%
Top-5 markets
41.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4504s — normal for humanCV 1.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.26
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.8%
Mid (20-55c)14.8%
High (>55c)43.3%

Sessions

#12
1/30/2026, 6:11:46 PM10 trades$11716 min
7/18/2025, 2:33:40 PM2 trades$461 min
6/30/2026, 5:55:43 PM6 trades$302 min
8/22/2025, 2:38:02 PM1 trades$250 min
1/12/2026, 1:13:14 AM2 trades$230 min
3/24/2026, 6:14:11 PM2 trades$190 min
4/2/2026, 8:10:25 AM4 trades$190 min
7/18/2025, 12:34:42 PM2 trades$180 min
11/25/2025, 1:33:59 PM1 trades$180 min
4/1/2026, 8:52:29 AM5 trades$160 min
1/13/2026, 10:57:42 PM1 trades$160 min
12/15/2025, 1:15:23 PM1 trades$150 min
1/9/2026, 8:16:26 PM1 trades$150 min
1/9/2026, 8:11:16 PM1 trades$150 min
9/4/2025, 12:18:14 PM1 trades$140 min
7/18/2025, 2:19:26 PM1 trades$140 min
9/3/2025, 10:46:40 PM1 trades$140 min
4/1/2026, 6:31:31 PM2 trades$131 min
6/26/2026, 4:39:20 AM2 trades$130 min
1/13/2026, 2:58:37 PM1 trades$130 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-13
12-18
01-09
01-30
04-02
05-01
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.26/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.8 / M14.8 / H43.3