phantombonsai

@phantombonsai

#128,98129

0x2d82d482a86428c5018df148c9081a804e6e3a1b

~73d· 112 markets · 594 tradesVol: $17,961 @phantombonsai2026-08-05 16:38:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (38/74)10.7/20
0.99x (win $1,600 / loss $1,612)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0780/15
Sortino -0.1180/10
$-0.0012 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 420 (74 markets)10/10
18/34 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 102% of peak ($639 / $627)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+394
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
SPORTS#56,839$500Vol: $11,800
🏛️ POLITICS#1,514,196$-94Vol: $4,698
💰 FINANCE#45,946$15Vol: $1,005
🎭 CULTURE#62,712$12Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$394
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,961
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
112
total markets
Trades
361B / 233S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~73d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $0
Week
$64
Vol: $508
Month
$60
Vol: $766
All Time
$394
Vol: $17,961

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
38W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$394
Win Rate
51%
38W / 36L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-52

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $544 (1.3825448820497195% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$287
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?$146
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$111
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$111
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$104
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100
Will Dani Olmo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$65
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$64
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$64
Will Alexander Sørloth score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$47

Top Losers

Will Ferran Torres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-190
Will Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-165
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-153
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-142
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?$-101
Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-97
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$-88
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-73
Will Alexis Mac Allister score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-65
Will Enzo Fernández score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-59

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.004
Sortino
-0.006
HHI
156
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
22%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
35.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2142s — normal for humanCV 1.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.36
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3%
Mid (20-55c)22.7%
High (>55c)74.2%

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 9:11:55 PM4 trades$7822 min
5/18/2026, 10:44:58 PM9 trades$49812 min
7/18/2026, 9:00:33 PM9 trades$2522 min
5/15/2026, 12:23:33 AM6 trades$2174 min
8/3/2026, 3:38:14 PM6 trades$2004 min
7/6/2026, 7:10:53 PM6 trades$1962 min
7/17/2026, 8:46:37 PM3 trades$1924 min
7/24/2026, 6:16:34 PM5 trades$1890 min
8/1/2026, 6:26:30 PM39 trades$18210 min
6/13/2026, 10:32:18 PM1 trades$1820 min
6/26/2026, 3:45:52 PM9 trades$1824 min
6/15/2026, 8:25:48 PM7 trades$1816 min
6/13/2026, 12:53:09 AM1 trades$1730 min
6/21/2026, 3:28:47 PM6 trades$1491 min
5/29/2026, 8:39:57 PM1 trades$1480 min
6/20/2026, 5:51:43 PM6 trades$1370 min
5/15/2026, 2:23:32 AM4 trades$1360 min
6/15/2026, 1:03:19 AM3 trades$1360 min
6/19/2026, 7:10:44 PM1 trades$1360 min
6/16/2026, 3:32:13 AM1 trades$1300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-27
06-08
06-15
06-20
06-27
07-03
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 25 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.36/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3 / M22.7 / H74.2