@areteforecast

#112,43350

0x2da06bd5c9512fb85a3658b6598f3f04c4f6f014

~3d· 6 markets · 27 tradesVol: $1,5512026-08-04 22:22:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

50
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (1/2)10/20
27.47x (win $549 / loss $20)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+1.9252 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 9574 (2 markets)0/10
1/2 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($20 / $549)10/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+534
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 4%

Categories

3
💻 TECH#2,033$580Vol: $1,227
🏛️ POLITICS#1,347,570$-16Vol: $192
💰 FINANCE#606,596$-30Vol: $131

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$534
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,551
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6
total markets
Trades
6B / 21S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~3d

Periods

#2
Today
$-8
Vol: $0
Week
$-6
Vol: $0
Month
$-17
Vol: $192
All Time
$534
Vol: $1,551

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
1W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$534
Win Rate
50%
1W / 1L
Profit Factor
27.47x
Avg Win
$549
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $549 (1.0295699428464349% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$549

Top Losers

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
5303
Concentrated
EV per $1
$2.521
Kelly %
13.6%
Half-Kelly
6.8%
Top-1 market
72.7%
Top-5 markets
76.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
3/24
Normal
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
23s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
4
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 23s — normal for humanCV 1.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern3/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.3%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)33.3%

Sessions

#12
7/23/2026, 9:02:27 PM10 trades$5430 min
7/23/2026, 9:09:48 PM13 trades$2251 min
8/1/2026, 4:25:18 PM2 trades$1920 min
7/30/2026, 3:50:41 PM2 trades$120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-24 23:59:00
2026-07-31 23:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L33.3 / M33.3 / H33.3