@0x2DE5bD…7874

#2,749,97532

0x2de5bd42d75fe1483f2ed0bc4198768d840b14a2

~13d· 38 markets · 44 tradesVol: $1,8782026-08-04 22:09:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (25/38)17.9/20
0.31x (win $116 / loss $375)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.8470/15
Sortino -6.7470/10
$-0.2396 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 530 (38 markets)9.8/10
6/13 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($264 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Diamond Hands
9% sells
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,577,604$-271Vol: $1,205
🎭 CULTURE#57,547$14Vol: $256
💰 FINANCE#51,920$12Vol: $159
💻 TECH#21,687$7Vol: $91
₿ CRYPTO#1,227,682$-16Vol: $86
📈 ECONOMICS#42,810$10Vol: $45

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-250
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,878
Total Redeem
$184
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
40B / 4S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
25W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-250
Win Rate
66%
25W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $38 (0.1504726049343159% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$16
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$12
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$9
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$9
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$8
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?$8
Maduro out in 2025?$6
Thailand strikes Cambodia by November 30?$4
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?$4
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?$4

Top Losers

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-190
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$-35
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?$-26
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?$-25
Jair Bolsonaro in jail by November 30?$-20
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?$-20
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$-20
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$-10
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?$-10
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.344
Sortino
-0.307
HHI
533
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.240
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.5%
Top-5 markets
32.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.4m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
20
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 122s — normal for humanCV 1.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.16
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.5%
Mid (20-55c)7.5%
High (>55c)85%

Sessions

#12
10/26/2024, 3:11:51 PM1 trades$1900 min
11/8/2025, 2:16:37 PM5 trades$16010 min
1/1/2026, 2:13:49 PM4 trades$1589 min
11/12/2025, 6:52:24 PM7 trades$1407 min
1/1/2026, 12:41:45 PM2 trades$752 min
11/12/2025, 7:04:18 PM2 trades$602 min
12/14/2025, 9:48:43 PM2 trades$461 min
6/22/2026, 11:18:29 PM4 trades$370 min
1/20/2026, 2:59:48 PM2 trades$300 min
12/11/2025, 6:14:35 PM1 trades$280 min
12/18/2024, 2:43:58 PM1 trades$250 min
11/10/2025, 5:06:44 PM1 trades$250 min
12/1/2025, 6:22:26 PM1 trades$240 min
12/18/2024, 3:57:37 PM3 trades$223 min
11/8/2025, 2:33:47 PM1 trades$210 min
11/8/2025, 1:28:47 PM1 trades$200 min
6/22/2026, 10:54:26 PM2 trades$160 min
12/18/2024, 3:47:59 PM2 trades$104 min
5/12/2025, 7:16:56 PM1 trades$70 min
11/13/2024, 5:25:43 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-26
12-18
11-08
11-12
12-11
01-01
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.5 / M7.5 / H85