@ta-koiss

#3,038,87315

0x2de5d6e235283148293f8b4fbf581e82b287d7a5

~31d· 86 markets · 354 tradesVol: $29,2972026-08-04 18:12:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (37/86)6.5/20
0.24x (win $2,564 / loss $10,894)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.3100/15
Sortino -6.1610/10
$-0.5217 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1166 (86 markets)6.7/10
11/29 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 896% of peak ($9,377 / $1,046)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,608,880$-799Vol: $17,164
💻 TECH#258,632$-3,032Vol: $4,713
💰 FINANCE#646,838$-334Vol: $2,946
🎭 CULTURE#792,036$-170Vol: $2,170
CRYPTO#1,535,040$-197Vol: $1,829
SPORTS#126,682$92Vol: $475

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,440
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$29,297
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
86
total markets
Trades
207B / 147S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
37W / 49L events
Realized PnL
$-4,440
Win Rate
43%
37W / 49L
Profit Factor
0.24x
Avg Win
$69
Avg Loss
$-227

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,560 (0.351264846261096% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$909
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$350
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$300
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$227
Iran coup attempt by June 30?$198
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?$183
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$153
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 11-17?$44
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?$42
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?$39

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-3,379
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$-2,194
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-1,931
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$-1,596
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$-1,115
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-350
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?$-24
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?$-16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.325
Sortino
-0.286
HHI
1348
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.431
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.9%
Top-5 markets
71.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1246s — normal for humanCV 2.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.81
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.9%
Mid (20-55c)33.8%
High (>55c)49.3%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 5:01:01 AM10 trades$2,1984 min
5/29/2026, 5:03:33 AM14 trades$1,6292 min
6/8/2026, 7:33:30 PM8 trades$1,5500 min
5/21/2026, 7:16:26 AM17 trades$1,4420 min
6/21/2026, 5:49:20 AM7 trades$1,4033 min
5/29/2026, 4:50:17 AM17 trades$1,3103 min
6/25/2026, 3:38:49 AM12 trades$1,2291 min
5/31/2026, 8:57:55 AM10 trades$1,0460 min
6/21/2026, 5:31:50 AM5 trades$1,0380 min
5/31/2026, 8:50:37 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/25/2026, 3:07:49 PM31 trades$9793 min
5/21/2026, 2:06:12 AM12 trades$9600 min
6/8/2026, 7:16:48 PM5 trades$9320 min
5/31/2026, 6:41:35 AM4 trades$8530 min
5/31/2026, 9:07:25 AM7 trades$8430 min
6/9/2026, 1:33:57 AM4 trades$8050 min
6/7/2026, 11:30:55 AM2 trades$3690 min
5/8/2026, 7:25:57 AM4 trades$3500 min
5/31/2026, 8:28:36 AM4 trades$3290 min
5/8/2026, 10:15:24 PM1 trades$3140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-07
05-11
05-15
05-19
05-29
06-04
06-08
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.81/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.9 / M33.8 / H49.3