@KELBI

#158,45353

0x2df50477e68a95a28ff76233e8f770b9dd6557c8

~83d· 100 markets · 953 tradesVol: $29,0642026-08-04 16:20:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (38/94)5.2/20
1.20x (win $979 / loss $813)5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.05815/15
Sortino 1.82510/10
$+0.0438 per $1 invested2.2/10
HHI 458 (94 markets)10/10
22/43 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 71% of peak ($299 / $423)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+249
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#6,134$131Vol: $23,393
💰 FINANCE#640,825$-155Vol: $4,537

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$249
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$29,064
Total Redeem
$166
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
100
total markets
Trades
578B / 375S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~83d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $354
Month
$-76
Vol: $633
All Time
$249
Vol: $29,064

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
38W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$249
Win Rate
40%
38W / 56L
Profit Factor
1.2x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $591 (2.3717819992770792% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?$268
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$172
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$150
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$92
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$36
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$28
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?$22
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$20
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?$20
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$17

Top Losers

Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$-200
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$-112
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-75
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$-45
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$-45
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$-43
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?$-35
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$-31
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?$-13
Will Meta (META) finish week of April 20 above $650?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.055
Sortino
0.080
HHI
311
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.052
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.9%
Top-5 markets
29%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
31.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1868s — normal for humanCV 1.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.16
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.5%
Mid (20-55c)26%
High (>55c)45.5%

Sessions

#12
4/4/2026, 3:18:19 AM20 trades$4310 min
4/4/2026, 2:14:27 PM5 trades$2081 min
4/4/2026, 11:38:41 PM2 trades$2030 min
4/26/2026, 7:28:20 PM3 trades$1740 min
4/20/2026, 5:51:34 PM9 trades$1622 min
4/3/2026, 9:06:51 AM9 trades$1410 min
4/20/2026, 4:29:08 PM34 trades$11413 min
4/20/2026, 2:24:58 PM17 trades$1070 min
5/14/2026, 3:47:16 PM9 trades$900 min
7/31/2026, 1:10:30 AM3 trades$850 min
4/11/2026, 10:44:49 AM9 trades$822 min
3/21/2026, 11:49:49 PM2 trades$810 min
6/28/2026, 3:46:43 PM18 trades$754 min
7/30/2026, 6:18:30 PM6 trades$704 min
3/20/2026, 6:51:47 AM3 trades$650 min
4/3/2026, 11:57:35 AM7 trades$631 min
6/16/2026, 3:45:55 AM9 trades$615 min
4/10/2026, 8:02:31 AM2 trades$600 min
4/20/2026, 2:35:22 PM5 trades$551 min
4/11/2026, 11:04:07 AM4 trades$520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-12
03-23
04-21
05-16
06-18
07-03
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 69 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.5 / M26 / H45.5