@Miguel262144
#51,180250x2df5ad0f2612c7bcf5f87543e126e0aa351051ac
~781d· 7440 markets · 15944 tradesVol: $228,8972026-08-04 19:57:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (3511/7367)8.8/20
0.86x (win $22,745 / loss $26,566)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4840/15
Sortino -0.5030/10
$-0.0513 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 370 (7367 markets)10/10
255/500 profitable days (51%)5.2/10
Max DD 235% of peak ($8,374 / $3,558)0/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+2,043
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
Whale
$74,434 invested
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#15,188$1,301Vol: $146,854
⚽ SPORTS#57,725$486Vol: $62,105
🎭 CULTURE#8,126$479Vol: $9,956
💻 TECH#252,345$-172Vol: $4,802
💰 FINANCE#20,064$83Vol: $1,689
📢 MENTIONS#14,736$19Vol: $1,426
📈 ECONOMICS#638,496$-31Vol: $521
🌤️ WEATHER#263,535$-23Vol: $137
₿ CRYPTO#226,243$11Vol: $56
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,048
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$228,897
Total Redeem
$1,315
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
7440
total markets
Trades
11045B / 4899S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~781d
Periods
#2Today
$-94
Vol: $876
Week
$-79
Vol: $2,098
Month
$-138
Vol: $2,471
All Time
$2,048
Vol: $228,897
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
3511W / 3856L events
Realized PnL
$2,043
Win Rate
48%
3511W / 3856L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-7
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,598 (1.2713404039761353% of PnL)
Top Winners
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1,388
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?$691
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$519
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$336
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$312
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$266
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$210
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?$210
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$202
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?$156
Top Losers
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-6,427
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-967
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-298
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-241
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-206
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?$-138
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs$-136
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$-115
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?$-112
Stars vs. Maple Leafs$-109
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.025
Sortino
-0.018
HHI
327
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.047
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.8%
Top-5 markets
26.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
16.5
Active
Markets / Day
7.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.6
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — normal for humanCV 2.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active7.7 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 0:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.18
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.9%
Mid (20-55c)46.1%
High (>55c)47.9%
Sessions
#124/15/2026, 5:53:28 PM103 trades$3,58020 min
6/7/2026, 10:37:21 PM20 trades$1,9504 min
4/15/2026, 6:22:20 PM68 trades$1,50612 min
4/10/2026, 8:05:29 AM15 trades$1,3023 min
6/8/2026, 12:12:36 AM14 trades$1,2915 min
12/11/2025, 2:08:33 AM4 trades$1,1239 min
8/6/2024, 4:09:43 AM2 trades$9982 min
6/5/2026, 2:57:25 AM34 trades$99510 min
6/6/2026, 1:43:01 PM4 trades$9380 min
11/16/2025, 10:12:11 PM5 trades$84111 min
4/15/2026, 3:50:50 PM8 trades$8390 min
6/6/2026, 10:51:39 AM35 trades$8327 min
4/14/2026, 4:23:29 PM14 trades$7305 min
6/6/2026, 6:32:25 AM4 trades$6490 min
6/8/2026, 3:26:16 AM12 trades$6342 min
4/25/2026, 4:25:10 AM20 trades$6073 min
10/3/2024, 12:59:26 AM2 trades$5800 min
6/27/2025, 8:16:07 PM2 trades$5564 min
4/14/2026, 3:31:17 AM21 trades$53810 min
6/8/2026, 12:48:49 AM4 trades$5380 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-27
11-23
05-07
10-19
02-01
04-25
07-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 70 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.9 / M46.1 / H47.9