@0x2e8e…5b53

#2,821,31815

0x2e8ee18b940a87270cd89b6a9f7870e0903b5b53

~17d· 59 markets · 351 tradesVol: $51,8692026-08-04 15:06:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (21/58)3.1/20
0.37x (win $2,117 / loss $5,733)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.8140/15
Sortino -7.8170/10
$-0.5538 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 434 (58 markets)10/10
5/14 profitable days (36%)1.4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($3,616 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
67% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
10% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

6
💰 FINANCE#654,795$-1,235Vol: $14,438
🏛️ POLITICS#1,606,652$-725Vol: $12,777
💻 TECH#257,824$-1,381Vol: $11,562
🎭 CULTURE#2,330$3,040Vol: $9,963
📈 ECONOMICS#581,982$-7Vol: $2,432
🌤️ WEATHER#287,738$-132Vol: $589

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-402
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$51,869
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
59
total markets
Trades
317B / 34S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Month
$-115
Vol: $0
All Time
$-402
Vol: $51,869

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
21W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$-402
Win Rate
36%
21W / 37L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$101
Avg Loss
$-164

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,398 (3.4786881982632063% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?$919
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$244
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.1B?$234
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?$180
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$131
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?$97
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?$80
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?$41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$31
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?$31

Top Losers

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-297
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-280
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?$-278
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?$-278
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?$-278
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.15B?$-278
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.3B?$-278
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.0B?$-278
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?$-278
Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?$-270

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.394
Sortino
-0.440
HHI
297
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.548
Kelly %
2.9%
Half-Kelly
1.5%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
21.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.0
Active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 706s — normal for humanCV 2.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active2.7 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.09
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)66.9%
Mid (20-55c)26.5%
High (>55c)6.6%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 12:25:28 PM57 trades$2,9106 min
7/1/2026, 12:40:14 PM13 trades$67514 min
7/14/2026, 10:44:40 AM8 trades$5532 min
7/14/2026, 10:15:04 AM2 trades$3520 min
7/1/2026, 1:24:59 PM1 trades$2700 min
7/1/2026, 5:48:58 PM3 trades$2623 min
7/1/2026, 4:55:41 PM3 trades$1900 min
7/2/2026, 6:16:07 AM1 trades$1630 min
7/1/2026, 9:21:47 PM2 trades$1422 min
7/1/2026, 2:20:04 PM3 trades$1227 min
7/3/2026, 9:56:04 AM1 trades$1130 min
7/15/2026, 11:25:17 AM16 trades$1102 min
7/1/2026, 1:02:40 PM3 trades$1064 min
7/2/2026, 9:26:52 PM4 trades$1050 min
7/22/2026, 10:51:24 AM2 trades$1031 min
7/1/2026, 6:26:47 PM9 trades$851 min
7/1/2026, 3:14:29 PM1 trades$810 min
7/2/2026, 12:56:38 AM1 trades$790 min
7/22/2026, 10:46:33 PM1 trades$760 min
7/2/2026, 12:35:52 PM2 trades$733 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-01
07-03
07-05
07-07
07-11
07-14
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.09/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L66.9 / M26.5 / H6.6