@pmggd

#113,21817

0x3024712d12a75c911f8abf2a88ad44e3a4778ece

~256d· 4721 markets · 20329 tradesVol: $619,7172026-08-04 22:47:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (1290/4710)0/20
0.99x (win $12,651 / loss $12,772)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1190/15
Sortino -0.1830/10
$-0.0048 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 18 (4710 markets)10/10
120/256 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 399% of peak ($1,103 / $277)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+526
Lottery Player
64% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#1,683$955Vol: $586,711
SPORTS#1,786,559$-420Vol: $26,367
🎭 CULTURE#68,166$10Vol: $4,172
📈 ECONOMICS#146,008$0Vol: $405
🏛️ POLITICS#100,862$40Vol: $293
💻 TECH#213,685$-4Vol: $148
CRYPTO#1,143,649$-10Vol: $148
💰 FINANCE#614,347$-41Vol: $131

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$526
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$619,717
Total Redeem
$579
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4721
total markets
Trades
13755B / 6574S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~256d

Periods

#2
Today
$42
Vol: $1,636
Week
$37
Vol: $6,156
Month
$25
Vol: $7,330
All Time
$526
Vol: $619,717

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
1289W / 3420L events
Realized PnL
$526
Win Rate
27%
1289W / 3420L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,230 (2.3393064353516326% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 29?$776
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13?$253
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 12?$201
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 8?$197
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 14?$153
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 6?$152
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 13?$151
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 30?$121
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 7?$114
Will Brighton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?$108

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14?$-572
Bulls vs. Nuggets$-101
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-21?$-100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?$-100
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?$-100
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21?$-89
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on May 12?$-86
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 29?$-82
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5$-81
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 8?$-81

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.006
Sortino
-0.008
HHI
13
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
4.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
62.6
Very active
Markets / Day
14.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.7m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
33.0

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 156s — normal for humanCV 2.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock63 trades/day — mass trading15 markets/day — mass coverage59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.32
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)64.1%
Mid (20-55c)19.1%
High (>55c)16.8%

Sessions

#12
5/14/2026, 4:39:44 PM119 trades$1,81314 min
5/14/2026, 5:59:14 AM71 trades$95021 min
5/12/2026, 1:46:42 AM72 trades$84732 min
6/5/2026, 1:42:00 AM71 trades$84540 min
3/5/2026, 4:02:49 PM1 trades$7490 min
4/24/2026, 8:17:22 AM44 trades$73620 min
5/12/2026, 3:04:35 PM90 trades$72269 min
5/1/2026, 2:38:22 AM33 trades$69112 min
5/9/2026, 8:09:07 AM59 trades$66517 min
5/28/2026, 12:02:24 PM9 trades$6100 min
8/3/2026, 1:18:21 AM5 trades$5340 min
6/28/2026, 1:42:11 PM18 trades$5110 min
5/12/2026, 12:00:48 AM27 trades$49511 min
6/9/2026, 3:40:48 PM4 trades$4880 min
6/14/2026, 10:10:00 AM31 trades$4279 min
5/15/2026, 8:35:25 AM24 trades$4179 min
6/6/2026, 6:36:31 AM17 trades$4131 min
5/11/2026, 4:01:27 PM67 trades$40731 min
4/29/2026, 3:05:04 PM31 trades$3869 min
4/2/2026, 6:56:13 AM20 trades$3835 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-14
11-10
12-24
03-11
04-27
06-18
08-01
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 194 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
72% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.32/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L64.1 / M19.1 / H16.8