@trade818

#2,978,64112

0x302ed771d73b7509a84ca5223dfbb42b149f88cc

~87d· 380 markets · 2324 tradesVol: $229,4152026-08-04 18:55:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (105/337)0.6/20
0.69x (win $8,752 / loss $12,721)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0330/15
Sortino -3.6520/10
$-0.1228 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 89 (337 markets)10/10
25/67 profitable days (37%)1.8/10
Max DD 60568% of peak ($4,870 / $8)0/10

Badges

3
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,600,435$-559Vol: $123,393
💰 FINANCE#647,489$-361Vol: $29,068
🎭 CULTURE#775,983$-84Vol: $24,818
SPORTS#1,754,940$-247Vol: $19,819
📈 ECONOMICS#652,264$-62Vol: $9,244
CRYPTO#1,424,774$-67Vol: $7,440
🌤️ WEATHER#276,765$-52Vol: $4,847
💻 TECH#236,795$-22Vol: $2,227
📢 MENTIONS#165,866$-123Vol: $1,325

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,655
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$229,415
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
380
total markets
Trades
1352B / 972S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~87d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $104
Week
$-18
Vol: $1,125
Month
$-40
Vol: $2,303
All Time
$-1,655
Vol: $229,415

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
105W / 232L events
Realized PnL
$-1,655
Win Rate
31%
105W / 232L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$83
Avg Loss
$-60

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,459 (2.0905481356137066% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1,387
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1,279
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$793
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$746
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$492
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$462
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$288
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?$217
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$200
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$177

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-766
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$-551
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-516
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$-449
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-433
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-304
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-302
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$-291
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-286
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$-263

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.158
Sortino
-0.175
HHI
81
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.122
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
9.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.6
Active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
51.8m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 426s — normal for humanCV 1.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency3.4 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.98
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.3%
Mid (20-55c)26.5%
High (>55c)55.3%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 1:32:12 AM27 trades$8311 min
4/14/2026, 6:31:41 AM16 trades$4219 min
5/15/2026, 9:08:15 AM7 trades$33510 min
7/26/2026, 2:59:21 PM3 trades$3260 min
7/23/2026, 2:13:46 PM6 trades$3200 min
6/12/2026, 2:25:46 AM2 trades$3150 min
7/25/2026, 2:53:36 PM9 trades$2980 min
4/23/2026, 2:57:14 AM7 trades$28312 min
4/24/2026, 6:50:04 PM6 trades$27314 min
7/28/2026, 12:46:36 AM3 trades$2710 min
4/23/2026, 1:38:18 PM8 trades$25714 min
4/24/2026, 4:57:36 PM11 trades$2569 min
7/23/2026, 8:43:46 PM5 trades$2520 min
7/23/2026, 12:07:18 PM7 trades$2460 min
4/24/2026, 5:20:12 PM10 trades$2417 min
5/10/2026, 1:29:31 AM5 trades$2405 min
7/9/2026, 1:36:47 AM6 trades$2390 min
7/30/2026, 5:03:29 AM5 trades$2330 min
4/17/2026, 8:43:02 AM8 trades$2320 min
4/23/2026, 5:51:38 AM4 trades$2291 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-14
04-25
05-06
05-19
05-30
06-24
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.98/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.3 / M26.5 / H55.3