@thepolwinner
#4,479520x3078db4a9737866b4d6529f655025b3a20f80389
~380d· 7232 markets · 2008481 tradesVol: $50,647,9842026-08-04 23:53:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (3243/7048)8/20
1.07x (win $86,491 / loss $81,211)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.71213.4/15
Sortino 1.54510/10
$+0.0456 per $1 invested2.3/10
HHI 23 (7048 markets)10/10
182/373 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 94% of peak ($5,508 / $5,842)0/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+38,552
Contrarian
92% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
1% sells
DCA Master
Avg 5.8 entries/market
Whale
$115,711 invested
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#2,241$19,591Vol: $16,488,438
⚽ SPORTS#12,806$3,487Vol: $13,528,943
₿ CRYPTO#5,346$9,413Vol: $11,672,354
🎭 CULTURE#6,301$718Vol: $5,120,856
📈 ECONOMICS#6,431$304Vol: $1,390,632
💰 FINANCE#2,250$2,088Vol: $1,189,213
💻 TECH#1,181$1,278Vol: $452,383
🌤️ WEATHER#295,216$-468Vol: $95,165
📢 MENTIONS#2,102$530Vol: $68,981
Overview
#1Net PnL
$38,552
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,647,984
Total Redeem
$2,238
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
7232
total markets
Trades
21317B / 18105S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~380d
Periods
#2Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$38,552
Vol: $50,647,984
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
49%
12380W / 12962L events
Realized PnL
$38,552
Win Rate
49%
12380W / 12962L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-21
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,354 (0.24263984171055522% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4,034
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,547
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$1,773
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,767
Spread: Germany (-5.5)$1,538
Government shutdown on Saturday?$1,479
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers$983
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$957
US military action against Iran before July?$857
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$813
Top Losers
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,800
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$-1,079
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,043
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?$-1,015
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$-983
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-867
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?$-860
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$-859
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-756
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-738
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.037
Sortino
0.070
HHI
42
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.041
Kelly %
9.8%
Half-Kelly
4.9%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
10%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4158.3
Very active
Markets / Day
15.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.1m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.8
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 554s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4158 trades/day — automation15 markets/day — mass coverage2% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.8
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)29.4%
Mid (20-55c)62.4%
High (>55c)8.2%
Sessions
#126/15/2026, 4:29:16 PM66 trades$1,04441 min
12/28/2025, 1:31:19 PM1 trades$9830 min
6/15/2026, 5:14:48 PM83 trades$98140 min
12/24/2025, 4:38:23 PM13 trades$83310 min
7/14/2026, 8:31:41 PM23 trades$80111 min
2/13/2026, 6:10:49 AM11 trades$6699 min
2/28/2026, 8:03:17 AM8 trades$6315 min
7/14/2026, 7:55:28 PM17 trades$6008 min
2/28/2026, 1:41:19 PM9 trades$5642 min
11/25/2025, 2:16:49 PM9 trades$52410 min
12/29/2025, 5:39:09 PM23 trades$51218 min
6/14/2026, 9:03:39 PM63 trades$50024 min
12/29/2025, 3:05:11 PM18 trades$4936 min
1/3/2026, 7:18:13 AM6 trades$4890 min
5/23/2026, 9:42:28 PM16 trades$48512 min
3/3/2026, 8:24:13 PM28 trades$45927 min
3/3/2026, 9:21:45 PM31 trades$44328 min
5/23/2026, 8:38:18 PM44 trades$44325 min
2/28/2026, 12:26:53 PM11 trades$4288 min
5/23/2026, 11:50:23 PM4 trades$4280 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-22
06-08
08-11
10-23
12-26
02-26
07-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 335 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.8/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29.4 / M62.4 / H8.2