@ryeguy

#2,679,38432

0x30d6030edd300d05fc7187f9e00f60d9229550c3

~95d· 342 markets · 1651 tradesVol: $88,867 @MadRyeguy2026-08-05 17:26:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (203/336)15.2/20
0.77x (win $4,239 / loss $5,488)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7950/15
Sortino -2.0780/10
$-0.0696 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 225 (336 markets)10/10
48/84 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 2644% of peak ($2,009 / $76)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 60%
DCA Master
Avg 5.3 entries/market
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#295,138$-439Vol: $38,644
SPORTS#1,577,579$-45Vol: $12,893
📢 MENTIONS#165,704$-118Vol: $12,341
🏛️ POLITICS#65,142$97Vol: $9,027
🎭 CULTURE#10,599$319Vol: $4,732
💰 FINANCE#635,356$-114Vol: $4,323
CRYPTO#75,638$147Vol: $3,275
💻 TECH#241,896$-37Vol: $2,070
📈 ECONOMICS#30,840$18Vol: $1,545

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-171
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$88,867
Total Redeem
$30
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
342
total markets
Trades
1166B / 485S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~95d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-42
Vol: $1,646
Month
$-143
Vol: $2,196
All Time
$-171
Vol: $88,867

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
203W / 133L events
Realized PnL
$-171
Win Rate
60%
203W / 133L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-44

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $982 (5.732181425485961% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$393
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$321
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$268
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?$170
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$160
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$150
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?$134
Will Trump say "Iran" during Tele-Rally?$114
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$112
Will Trump say "China" during events with Brazilian president?$108

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-684
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-550
Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next video?$-278
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-223
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?$-199
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?$-187
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-185
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$-168
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?$-165
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-138

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.093
Sortino
-0.084
HHI
449
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.056
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.4%
Top-5 markets
34.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.2
Active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 917s — normal for humanCV 1.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active3.4 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.34
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.9%
Mid (20-55c)15.2%
High (>55c)63.9%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 8:25:01 AM2 trades$3980 min
6/23/2026, 5:51:07 PM5 trades$3874 min
6/15/2026, 4:12:48 PM30 trades$3259 min
5/16/2026, 12:10:02 PM4 trades$3001 min
6/14/2026, 8:31:54 AM4 trades$2983 min
5/18/2026, 9:00:48 AM3 trades$2720 min
6/15/2026, 3:56:34 AM11 trades$2664 min
7/10/2026, 6:38:41 AM4 trades$2560 min
7/7/2026, 10:07:50 AM6 trades$23512 min
6/15/2026, 3:35:06 AM10 trades$2173 min
6/19/2026, 9:13:05 PM4 trades$2140 min
6/9/2026, 5:12:57 PM7 trades$2060 min
5/9/2026, 6:26:41 AM2 trades$2000 min
6/9/2026, 3:34:31 PM6 trades$2003 min
5/17/2026, 3:42:11 PM1 trades$1930 min
6/23/2026, 11:19:23 AM1 trades$1920 min
5/5/2026, 6:57:14 AM2 trades$1910 min
6/1/2026, 3:10:01 PM5 trades$1900 min
6/2/2026, 8:21:21 AM2 trades$1890 min
6/22/2026, 1:17:05 AM1 trades$1860 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-25
05-09
05-28
06-15
06-29
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
14% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.34/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.9 / M15.2 / H63.9