@keepdigging

#2,359,43810

0x310a8326d7ee0a8cfcf19e2ea0e49010260d4f04

~20d· 24 markets · 95 tradesVol: $9,1092026-08-04 22:23:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (7/19)3.4/20
0.74x (win $163 / loss $222)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6530/15
Sortino -4.0390/10
$-0.0223 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1111 (19 markets)6.9/10
3/11 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 405% of peak ($88 / $22)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#98,563$42Vol: $4,541
💻 TECH#12,065$24Vol: $2,586
💰 FINANCE#626,784$-75Vol: $955
🎭 CULTURE#681,706$-9Vol: $381
₿ CRYPTO#1,297,808$-25Vol: $44
⚽ SPORTS#669,156$-0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-51
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,109
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
59B / 36S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $0
Week
$5
Vol: $28
Month
$-19
Vol: $1,107
All Time
$-51
Vol: $9,109

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
7W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-51
Win Rate
37%
7W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $130 (2.5807600950118763% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$82
Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?$29
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?$20
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?$11
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?$11
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10
Israel strikes Iran before August?$1

Top Losers

Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?$-46
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?$-43
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?$-36
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$-27
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$-26
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?$-17
Astronomer Divorce Parlay$-9
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?$-7
Cluely $1B valuation in 2025?$-7
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.132
Sortino
-0.286
HHI
473
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
42.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 350s — normal for humanCV 1.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.32
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.9%
Mid (20-55c)23.7%
High (>55c)42.4%

Sessions

#12
8/1/2026, 10:38:27 PM14 trades$1,05010 min
7/12/2025, 1:53:56 AM1 trades$2820 min
7/18/2025, 1:56:10 AM6 trades$2075 min
8/4/2025, 5:47:56 PM1 trades$2070 min
8/4/2025, 10:05:08 PM2 trades$2063 min
7/12/2025, 6:18:18 AM2 trades$2021 min
11/4/2025, 5:37:27 AM1 trades$2000 min
8/15/2025, 2:44:38 AM1 trades$1990 min
11/5/2025, 1:17:35 AM1 trades$1930 min
8/1/2025, 12:55:38 AM6 trades$1394 min
7/29/2025, 4:14:03 AM3 trades$1238 min
7/29/2025, 4:38:35 AM1 trades$920 min
8/4/2025, 5:32:06 PM4 trades$868 min
8/1/2025, 2:19:48 AM1 trades$610 min
7/19/2025, 12:04:26 AM1 trades$500 min
7/29/2025, 4:57:25 AM1 trades$470 min
8/4/2025, 5:55:08 PM1 trades$460 min
7/19/2025, 7:43:14 AM1 trades$420 min
8/12/2025, 7:51:12 AM1 trades$400 min
8/1/2025, 3:02:06 AM2 trades$331 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-12
07-18
07-19
07-22
07-29
08-04
08-06
08-15
08-18
11-05
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L33.9 / M23.7 / H42.4