i.love.Frieren

@i.love.Frieren

#18,43118

0x314c9c0c6f60c3563cc29ef3f969d36e6d0b69dd

~49d· 81 markets · 530 tradesVol: $142,3842026-08-04 18:03:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (25/64)4.5/20
0.97x (win $17,123 / loss $17,593)2.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1810/15
Sortino -0.2490/10
$-0.0132 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 775 (64 markets)8.6/10
12/30 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 133% of peak ($9,386 / $7,035)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+7,533
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#7,488$3,889Vol: $64,345
SPORTS#38,745$975Vol: $44,800
🎭 CULTURE#772,656$-74Vol: $13,044
CRYPTO#65,087$201Vol: $6,652
💰 FINANCE#5,697$640Vol: $4,603
💻 TECH#244,130$-50Vol: $219
📢 MENTIONS#113,681$-5Vol: $57

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,533
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$142,384
Total Redeem
$765
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
81
total markets
Trades
233B / 297S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Today
$8
Vol: $986
Week
$218
Vol: $986
Month
$888
Vol: $986
All Time
$7,533
Vol: $142,384

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
25W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$7,533
Win Rate
39%
25W / 39L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$685
Avg Loss
$-475

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,284 (1.0996600206297518% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?$5,457
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$1,836
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$991
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$979
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$931
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$887
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$819
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$816
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$681
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$557

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-4,400
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,798
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-1,800
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-1,600
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-1,200
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$-618
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-540
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-400
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$-400
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$-377

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.009
Sortino
-0.011
HHI
536
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.3%
Top-5 markets
44.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 846s — normal for humanCV 1.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.78
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21%
Mid (20-55c)42.9%
High (>55c)36.1%

Sessions

#12
3/12/2026, 10:53:41 PM1 trades$7,1880 min
4/4/2026, 7:47:45 PM2 trades$5,8420 min
7/22/2026, 4:56:15 PM36 trades$5,1301 min
7/16/2026, 9:35:52 PM4 trades$2,7782 min
3/19/2026, 4:00:45 PM3 trades$1,8002 min
7/26/2026, 1:51:36 PM6 trades$1,6962 min
7/20/2026, 9:06:06 PM2 trades$1,6670 min
4/23/2026, 4:22:32 PM9 trades$1,5793 min
3/16/2026, 1:35:55 AM4 trades$1,5496 min
7/25/2026, 6:58:40 PM19 trades$1,4917 min
7/31/2026, 2:41:12 PM7 trades$1,4160 min
4/1/2026, 5:36:41 PM8 trades$1,4110 min
7/23/2026, 12:36:15 PM6 trades$1,3110 min
7/18/2026, 3:13:46 AM4 trades$1,2860 min
7/18/2026, 3:00:33 AM12 trades$1,2074 min
4/1/2026, 5:44:49 PM12 trades$1,1684 min
4/1/2026, 4:16:37 PM8 trades$1,0981 min
3/14/2026, 11:10:39 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
3/16/2026, 1:47:57 AM2 trades$9495 min
7/16/2026, 11:46:16 PM10 trades$9240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-12
02-22
03-18
04-04
06-23
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 122 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.78/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L21 / M42.9 / H36.1