@notmrx1

#297,10012

0x317600566140071b93351e549871b613a03ab725

~51d· 103 markets · 407 tradesVol: $96,2362026-08-04 15:17:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (30/103)0/20
0.67x (win $6,155 / loss $9,124)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1970/15
Sortino -4.1070/10
$-0.1993 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 611 (103 markets)9.4/10
15/39 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 254% of peak ($4,902 / $1,933)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+59
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#74,635$285Vol: $40,890
📈 ECONOMICS#677,350$-683Vol: $15,459
🏛️ POLITICS#1,600,825$-569Vol: $14,685
CRYPTO#32,725$878Vol: $12,778
🎭 CULTURE#44,470$25Vol: $3,203
📢 MENTIONS#28,956$4Vol: $3,043
💰 FINANCE#634,351$-109Vol: $1,133

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$59
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$96,236
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
103
total markets
Trades
331B / 76S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~51d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
30W / 73L events
Realized PnL
$59
Win Rate
29%
30W / 73L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$205
Avg Loss
$-127

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,669 (45.57137978142076% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night$1,366
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?$703
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi$599
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$578
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$471
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?$369
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$263
Trump and Biden both win nomination?$263
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open?$238
Biden wins the Popular Vote?$216

Top Losers

Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-1,354
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-501
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$-459
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-454
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?$-435
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?$-424
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$-409
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$-402
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-400
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$-340

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.165
Sortino
-0.230
HHI
390
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.192
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.7%
Top-5 markets
35%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.7m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 152s — normal for humanCV 2.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.18
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.3%
Mid (20-55c)48%
High (>55c)16.6%

Sessions

#12
12/6/2024, 7:21:13 PM3 trades$2,2785 min
12/18/2024, 7:48:30 PM3 trades$2,2637 min
7/10/2026, 12:56:38 PM27 trades$1,4741 min
7/7/2026, 10:09:40 PM6 trades$1,2540 min
6/15/2026, 9:51:43 PM6 trades$1,1631 min
11/15/2024, 2:28:27 PM1 trades$1,1000 min
12/3/2024, 5:17:22 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
12/6/2024, 7:39:10 PM1 trades$8340 min
11/6/2024, 11:07:25 AM2 trades$7420 min
8/26/2024, 7:32:54 AM2 trades$7131 min
6/29/2026, 10:24:40 AM21 trades$6982 min
11/5/2024, 4:21:57 PM8 trades$4935 min
8/9/2024, 1:29:57 AM1 trades$4160 min
5/28/2026, 2:46:14 PM2 trades$4000 min
11/5/2024, 1:00:55 PM2 trades$3940 min
8/18/2024, 10:21:55 AM3 trades$3742 min
12/18/2024, 2:50:18 PM6 trades$3697 min
9/17/2024, 12:38:08 AM2 trades$3381 min
4/24/2025, 5:30:38 AM2 trades$3161 min
4/22/2025, 3:48:04 PM6 trades$3058 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-10
08-09
09-16
10-22
12-18
07-30
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 581 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.18/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35.3 / M48 / H16.6