@quantpp

#148,18580

0x317b966c2b06d67f7df98443457a1fa6ffedc4c3

~50d· 46 markets · 351 tradesVol: $20,4302026-08-05 02:45:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (19/45)6.1/20
5.58x (win $3,063 / loss $549)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.12015/15
Sortino 35.72710/10
$+0.2087 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1121 (45 markets)6.9/10
13/23 profitable days (57%)6.6/10
Max DD 14% of peak ($340 / $2,514)10/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+290
Cool Head
Max DD 14%

Categories

5
📈 ECONOMICS#8,225$201Vol: $15,764
🏛️ POLITICS#186,455$8Vol: $2,453
⚽ SPORTS#1,446,617$-18Vol: $1,505
🌤️ WEATHER#6,845$106Vol: $591
💰 FINANCE#559,824$-7Vol: $118

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$290
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,430
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
46
total markets
Trades
148B / 203S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$12
Vol: $0
Month
$19
Vol: $0
All Time
$290
Vol: $20,430

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
19W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$290
Win Rate
42%
19W / 26L
Profit Factor
5.58x
Avg Win
$161
Avg Loss
$-46

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,421 (8.360459897110106% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$1,077
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$834
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$511
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$232
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$144
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$61
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$32
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$27

Top Losers

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?$-253
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-213
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$-39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$-9
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$-9
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$-7
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?$-5
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?$-4
US government shutdown by October 1?$-4
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.364
Sortino
1.125
HHI
1791
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.174
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.9%
Top-5 markets
82.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
41s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 41s — normal for humanCV 1.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.5%
Mid (20-55c)6.1%
High (>55c)80.4%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 10:16:32 PM3 trades$1,0940 min
6/5/2026, 9:10:51 PM19 trades$1,0791 min
4/14/2026, 1:44:27 PM11 trades$1,0257 min
4/1/2026, 3:37:47 PM13 trades$8940 min
6/16/2026, 2:52:53 PM4 trades$8770 min
6/2/2026, 4:41:51 PM4 trades$8350 min
7/30/2026, 1:30:54 AM6 trades$7320 min
7/2/2026, 1:30:25 PM2 trades$6190 min
6/17/2026, 3:07:46 AM4 trades$6001 min
6/11/2026, 3:33:30 PM19 trades$5967 min
7/19/2026, 3:17:07 AM7 trades$5583 min
6/25/2026, 12:06:46 PM5 trades$5510 min
6/17/2026, 12:23:38 PM1 trades$5490 min
2/9/2026, 3:36:03 PM2 trades$5411 min
4/29/2026, 12:04:32 PM1 trades$5120 min
4/14/2026, 3:53:07 PM9 trades$5103 min
2/6/2026, 5:54:25 PM1 trades$4990 min
6/29/2026, 2:06:13 AM4 trades$4002 min
6/18/2026, 2:47:50 PM6 trades$3690 min
7/31/2026, 7:04:30 PM4 trades$3240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-26
10-01
10-24
03-17
04-14
06-12
06-27
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 71 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.5 / M6.1 / H80.4