@0x31d9BA…0838

#2,090,48811

0x31d9ba7c9c7508694d6693779769e4167249bb17

~36d· 69 markets · 434 tradesVol: $1,8332026-08-05 17:30:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (10/25)5/20
0.89x (win $54 / loss $61)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9100/15
Sortino -1.3160/10
$-0.0093 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1523 (25 markets)4.9/10
4/14 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 334% of peak ($26 / $8)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,203,061$-7Vol: $659
📈 ECONOMICS#562,465$-4Vol: $304
💻 TECH#24,687$5Vol: $183
⚽ SPORTS#1,297,224$-8Vol: $148
💰 FINANCE#182,411$0Vol: $130
🌤️ WEATHER#231,088$-5Vol: $118
₿ CRYPTO#960,542$-3Vol: $68

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-20
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,833
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
69
total markets
Trades
213B / 221S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $5
Week
$1
Vol: $20
Month
$1
Vol: $25
All Time
$-20
Vol: $1,833

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
10W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-20
Win Rate
40%
10W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $33 (1.6217667154709614% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$16
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$11
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?$7
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?$6
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?$5
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?$3
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?$3
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?$1
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?$0

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-27
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?$-7
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-7
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-5
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?$-4
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?$-3
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-3
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$-2
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.046
Sortino
-0.065
HHI
1090
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.4%
Top-5 markets
54.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3758s — normal for humanCV 0.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.36
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.6%
Mid (20-55c)15.5%
High (>55c)70.9%

Sessions

#12
7/4/2026, 8:53:40 PM14 trades$610 min
6/22/2026, 9:06:47 AM17 trades$600 min
6/28/2026, 7:00:25 AM2 trades$500 min
6/25/2026, 6:42:38 PM3 trades$340 min
6/19/2026, 12:24:11 PM5 trades$330 min
6/25/2026, 2:01:50 AM6 trades$312 min
6/28/2026, 3:00:35 AM3 trades$310 min
6/26/2026, 1:07:13 AM2 trades$240 min
6/27/2026, 6:00:47 AM2 trades$230 min
6/26/2026, 9:30:50 PM2 trades$230 min
6/27/2026, 11:32:04 AM2 trades$230 min
6/27/2026, 8:00:34 AM4 trades$231 min
6/26/2026, 11:01:43 AM6 trades$231 min
6/19/2026, 6:06:02 PM2 trades$210 min
6/15/2026, 1:54:58 PM3 trades$200 min
6/24/2026, 10:04:04 PM5 trades$190 min
7/11/2026, 4:31:05 AM4 trades$180 min
6/29/2026, 7:01:01 AM2 trades$170 min
7/14/2026, 5:00:07 AM2 trades$170 min
6/22/2026, 6:37:41 PM4 trades$171 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-21
06-23
06-25
06-27
06-29
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.36/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.6 / M15.5 / H70.9