@MARIUSMC

#337,45552

0x31ff82a930a6031e3efc48c76f64f33f06b20d37

~93d· 162 markets · 545 tradesVol: $570,9392026-08-05 00:38:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (66/159)5.8/20
1.14x (win $25,159 / loss $22,093)4.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.21515/15
Sortino 1.74710/10
$+0.0211 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 328 (159 markets)10/10
34/65 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 99% of peak ($4,516 / $4,540)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+41
Contrarian
68% entries < $0.55
Whale
$145,614 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#9,022$2,954Vol: $326,152
₿ CRYPTO#1,642,777$-1,742Vol: $221,857
⚽ SPORTS#1,837,533$-1,226Vol: $17,407
📈 ECONOMICS#15,561$67Vol: $5,094
🎭 CULTURE#697,268$-12Vol: $430

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$41
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$570,939
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
162
total markets
Trades
341B / 204S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~93d

Periods

#2
Today
$-14
Vol: $0
Week
$8
Vol: $232
Month
$55
Vol: $232
All Time
$41
Vol: $570,939

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
66W / 93L events
Realized PnL
$41
Win Rate
42%
66W / 93L
Profit Factor
1.14x
Avg Win
$381
Avg Loss
$-238

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,644 (186.60986328125003% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$3,467
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $115K on August 4 at 5PM ET?$2,255
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?$1,922
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1,904
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1,453
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$886
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$737
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $116K on August 6 at 5PM ET?$659
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?$647
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?$612

Top Losers

Will XRP reach $3.40 in August?$-2,848
Will Solana reach $240 in October?$-2,000
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?$-1,815
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $115K on August 4 at 5PM ET?$-1,400
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?$-1,336
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$-1,146
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3600 on August 6?$-1,036
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Anca Dragu?$-781
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on August 1 at 5PM ET?$-655
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 66-68%?$-512

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.063
Sortino
0.072
HHI
286
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
25.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 582s — normal for humanCV 2.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.23
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.2%
Mid (20-55c)40.2%
High (>55c)31.7%

Sessions

#12
8/1/2025, 2:01:56 PM2 trades$12,4684 min
6/14/2025, 6:49:47 AM3 trades$8,3434 min
8/13/2025, 1:41:09 PM1 trades$7,2000 min
8/2/2025, 5:04:42 AM4 trades$6,9943 min
5/18/2025, 7:00:15 PM1 trades$6,8190 min
8/9/2025, 4:53:23 AM1 trades$6,5930 min
7/21/2025, 6:49:07 PM2 trades$6,3001 min
8/9/2025, 4:33:07 AM2 trades$6,0392 min
9/28/2025, 7:03:47 PM1 trades$5,8170 min
6/20/2025, 10:03:38 AM2 trades$5,7551 min
8/1/2025, 2:27:14 PM2 trades$5,6585 min
9/27/2025, 6:37:18 AM1 trades$5,3500 min
8/8/2025, 8:10:55 AM1 trades$5,0000 min
8/16/2025, 3:03:18 PM5 trades$4,5635 min
9/8/2025, 3:21:48 PM2 trades$4,3002 min
6/1/2025, 3:44:09 PM5 trades$4,2085 min
6/29/2025, 2:38:07 AM2 trades$3,9992 min
5/29/2025, 5:24:45 PM2 trades$3,8750 min
9/14/2025, 7:21:38 AM1 trades$3,8000 min
5/26/2025, 5:48:36 AM3 trades$3,6001 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-16
06-14
07-22
08-07
09-01
09-28
12-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 138 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.23/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L28.2 / M40.2 / H31.7