
@ShortTheWorld
#3,006,799210x322e7c2d41a4b4d24ab1d05a38c6da506fbabae4
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
45% (82/184)7.3/20
0.61x (win $3,680 / loss $6,049)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6310/15
Sortino -2.0130/10
$-0.0657 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 583 (184 markets)9.6/10
36/79 profitable days (46%)3.9/10
Max DD 296% of peak ($3,581 / $1,212)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
62% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7📈 ECONOMICS#4,958$464Vol: $165,170
₿ CRYPTO#1,657,466$-2,659Vol: $116,594
🏛️ POLITICS#1,595,105$-451Vol: $31,056
💰 FINANCE#7,526$446Vol: $14,231
💻 TECH#224,341$-9Vol: $804
🎭 CULTURE#283,344$0Vol: $4
⚽ SPORTS#478,104$0Vol: $3
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,288
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$333,247
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
195
total markets
Trades
1095B / 359S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~172d
Periods
#2Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-8
Vol: $0
Month
$-6
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,288
Vol: $333,247
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
45%
82W / 102L events
Realized PnL
$-2,288
Win Rate
45%
82W / 102L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$45
Avg Loss
$-61
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,280 (0.9965120243371535% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$924
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$810
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$546
US recession in 2025?$468
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$213
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?$208
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$86
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?$80
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$77
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$44
Top Losers
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?$-1,983
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$-1,362
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$-322
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$-240
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% in 2025?$-240
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-194
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?$-169
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-159
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$-151
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$-121
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.085
Sortino
-0.078
HHI
401
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.089
Kelly %
6.8%
Half-Kelly
3.4%
Top-1 market
13.4%
Top-5 markets
38.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 444s — normal for humanCV 4.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.92
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)61.8%
Mid (20-55c)18.5%
High (>55c)19.6%
Sessions
#124/17/2026, 10:22:56 PM53 trades$6,3639 min
4/28/2026, 4:34:42 AM6 trades$4,6361 min
4/19/2026, 10:01:34 PM18 trades$4,4692 min
11/21/2025, 3:00:01 PM1 trades$2,6630 min
11/25/2025, 9:55:13 PM1 trades$2,6630 min
4/22/2026, 5:25:36 AM39 trades$2,5774 min
4/17/2026, 11:03:48 PM29 trades$2,2920 min
3/4/2026, 8:47:15 PM8 trades$2,16812 min
5/30/2025, 11:48:34 PM17 trades$1,9496 min
4/15/2026, 10:54:36 PM2 trades$1,8950 min
11/21/2025, 12:42:03 PM2 trades$1,7321 min
2/23/2026, 1:24:46 AM1 trades$1,3430 min
9/11/2025, 5:56:31 PM1 trades$1,2320 min
11/21/2025, 12:35:13 PM12 trades$1,2052 min
7/29/2026, 1:49:38 PM12 trades$1,1620 min
9/5/2025, 10:21:04 PM2 trades$1,1351 min
4/1/2026, 6:25:59 AM14 trades$1,1123 min
7/29/2026, 2:10:00 PM4 trades$1,0640 min
2/19/2026, 4:47:36 AM1 trades$1,0170 min
1/21/2026, 11:50:38 AM2 trades$1,0051 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-14
03-27
04-17
05-08
08-04
02-25
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 49 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.92/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.8 / M18.5 / H19.6