Fablurou

@Fablurou

#3,063,55311

0x32561fa3e9c134ff1766ef5db558d4719be5830c

~308d· 2434 markets · 27546 tradesVol: $6,441,5602026-08-03 17:09:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (594/2431)0/20
0.92x (win $113,847 / loss $124,383)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8100/15
Sortino -1.3780/10
$-0.0411 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 37 (2431 markets)10/10
84/290 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($21,125 / $0)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
82% entries < $0.20
Whale
$256,092 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#817,385$-4,813Vol: $4,545,301
SPORTS#1,859,659$-2,498Vol: $732,571
🏛️ POLITICS#1,626,251$-2,217Vol: $395,239
📈 ECONOMICS#676,999$-678Vol: $310,786
CRYPTO#1,666,325$-5,316Vol: $259,179
💻 TECH#256,599$-798Vol: $141,567
🌤️ WEATHER#281,022$-73Vol: $26,134
💰 FINANCE#599,254$-22Vol: $21,192
📢 MENTIONS#147,110$-26Vol: $960

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16,684
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,441,560
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2434
total markets
Trades
22492B / 5054S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~308d

Periods

#2
Today
$-17
Vol: $100
Week
$-17
Vol: $10,706
Month
$-349
Vol: $19,210
All Time
$-16,684
Vol: $6,441,560

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
594W / 1837L events
Realized PnL
$-16,698
Win Rate
24%
594W / 1837L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$192
Avg Loss
$-70

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,813 (0.64757597916356% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$3,886
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3,687
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$3,240
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$3,024
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$2,957
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$2,935
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$2,742
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$2,655
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$2,536
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$2,385

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$-3,044
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$-1,386
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$-1,333
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12PM ET$-1,240
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?$-1,181
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$-1,066
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$-1,056
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$-912
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$-901
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$-881

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.042
Sortino
-0.074
HHI
32
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.041
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
81.7
Very active
Markets / Day
7.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
45s
between trades
Avg Gap
23.1m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
44.7

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 45s — normal for humanCV 3.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock82 trades/day — mass trading7.2 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.32
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)81.6%
Mid (20-55c)13.2%
High (>55c)5.2%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 11:47:31 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
2/28/2026, 2:38:21 AM515 trades$9,29465 min
2/28/2026, 3:51:07 AM445 trades$6,36451 min
12/12/2025, 1:02:20 PM11 trades$5,1675 min
4/4/2026, 4:18:13 PM23 trades$4,6816 min
1/13/2026, 5:20:09 PM1 trades$4,5370 min
4/7/2026, 8:20:11 PM19 trades$4,0732 min
11/14/2025, 3:35:18 PM6 trades$3,8250 min
2/27/2026, 11:46:31 PM38 trades$3,82318 min
1/16/2026, 4:39:06 PM14 trades$3,6040 min
1/16/2026, 2:52:46 PM124 trades$3,55124 min
6/24/2026, 1:16:50 AM6 trades$3,5350 min
1/6/2026, 4:57:35 PM25 trades$3,5173 min
1/20/2026, 5:53:38 PM1 trades$3,4840 min
12/5/2025, 4:52:05 PM3 trades$3,3749 min
4/3/2026, 4:02:23 PM31 trades$3,30410 min
4/24/2026, 7:38:36 PM26 trades$3,26717 min
12/15/2025, 10:14:23 AM44 trades$3,24522 min
11/25/2025, 5:20:31 PM2 trades$3,0951 min
6/11/2026, 3:17:18 AM15 trades$2,8456 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-31
10-25
12-14
02-01
03-22
06-03
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.32/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L81.6 / M13.2 / H5.2