@Hermnann
#2,790,340710x3285ada1211d38e5c785a6a1a157d4224db6f63d
~53d· 85 markets · 341 tradesVol: $34,2852026-08-05 16:40:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
60% (36/60)15/20
1.60x (win $2,115 / loss $1,323)10/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.20215/15
Sortino 5.71910/10
$+0.0447 per $1 invested2.2/10
HHI 595 (60 markets)9.5/10
16/28 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 58% of peak ($797 / $1,370)2.4/10
Badges
2Sniper
Win rate 60%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#32,663$358Vol: $24,967
⚽ SPORTS#146,945$66Vol: $4,380
📈 ECONOMICS#676,848$-569Vol: $2,915
💰 FINANCE#641,667$-190Vol: $1,536
🌤️ WEATHER#50,304$1Vol: $429
🎭 CULTURE#50,589$19Vol: $59
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-316
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,285
Total Redeem
$962
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
85
total markets
Trades
159B / 182S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~53d
Periods
#2Today
$-7
Vol: $0
Week
$-23
Vol: $888
Month
$-45
Vol: $888
All Time
$-316
Vol: $34,285
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
62%
37W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-316
Win Rate
62%
37W / 23L
Profit Factor
1.6x
Avg Win
$59
Avg Loss
$-88
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $697 (2.206310525982657% of PnL)
Top Winners
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$253
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$224
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$220
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$193
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$152
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$145
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$84
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?$81
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$71
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$70
Top Losers
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?$-400
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-280
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-200
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$-100
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$-97
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$-67
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?$-58
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-28
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.165
Sortino
0.217
HHI
250
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.062
Kelly %
1.1%
Half-Kelly
0.5%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
26.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 162s — normal for humanCV 1.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.83
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)15.7%
Mid (20-55c)20.8%
High (>55c)63.5%
Sessions
#122/28/2026, 6:54:21 AM19 trades$2,47829 min
6/19/2026, 6:31:22 AM10 trades$1,4185 min
3/2/2026, 11:26:53 PM3 trades$1,2572 min
6/21/2026, 4:08:40 AM9 trades$9113 min
8/4/2026, 3:06:56 PM7 trades$8880 min
6/12/2026, 6:37:55 AM16 trades$8201 min
3/13/2026, 2:41:23 AM5 trades$7455 min
1/28/2026, 5:21:15 AM1 trades$6810 min
4/8/2026, 7:47:13 AM16 trades$6642 min
7/12/2026, 12:27:41 PM11 trades$6526 min
6/21/2026, 5:32:01 AM3 trades$6410 min
7/23/2026, 10:04:34 AM21 trades$6073 min
6/22/2026, 6:39:50 AM4 trades$6000 min
7/20/2026, 10:01:42 PM4 trades$5510 min
1/22/2026, 12:25:20 PM1 trades$5000 min
2/28/2026, 8:44:15 PM5 trades$50011 min
6/8/2026, 3:19:07 AM6 trades$4940 min
6/21/2026, 5:17:58 AM4 trades$4482 min
2/23/2026, 2:47:10 PM3 trades$4404 min
6/21/2026, 3:59:43 AM4 trades$4241 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-22
02-08
03-05
03-17
04-14
06-15
07-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 54 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.7 / M20.8 / H63.5