@WillyCaba
#2,849,221600x32caf2c5a4681c98c09c40fa4de25be370f22f70
~54d· 239 markets · 482 tradesVol: $24,2272026-08-04 20:59:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
59% (142/239)14.7/20
1.07x (win $3,215 / loss $3,008)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.73813.8/15
Sortino 1.11510/10
$+0.0206 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 153 (239 markets)10/10
29/50 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 75% of peak ($285 / $380)0/10
Badges
1Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Categories
7⚽ SPORTS#1,805,154$-598Vol: $11,189
🌤️ WEATHER#277,111$-53Vol: $8,461
🏛️ POLITICS#58,576$119Vol: $3,663
🎭 CULTURE#35,420$38Vol: $784
📈 ECONOMICS#39,517$11Vol: $63
₿ CRYPTO#903,147$-2Vol: $47
💰 FINANCE#587,151$-15Vol: $21
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-500
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,227
Total Redeem
$549
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
239
total markets
Trades
260B / 222S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
59%
142W / 97L events
Realized PnL
$-500
Win Rate
59%
142W / 97L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-32
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $419 (0.8389677935587118% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$180
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$141
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$99
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$96
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score$85
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5$79
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score$79
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$75
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 13?$73
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5$67
Top Losers
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-200
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$-200
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?$-144
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-100
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5$-100
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score$-100
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 2.5$-100
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$-100
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 1.5$-100
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.038
Sortino
0.049
HHI
194
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
24.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 300s — normal for humanCV 1.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal1.6 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.08
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)15.8%
Mid (20-55c)26.2%
High (>55c)58.1%
Sessions
#124/14/2026, 7:12:54 PM6 trades$6400 min
3/4/2026, 3:32:07 AM1 trades$5010 min
2/28/2026, 5:55:35 AM1 trades$4710 min
2/27/2026, 1:35:17 PM1 trades$4350 min
6/21/2026, 3:03:53 AM8 trades$3584 min
6/22/2026, 11:26:08 PM4 trades$3570 min
6/22/2026, 2:56:58 PM10 trades$3393 min
2/23/2026, 2:49:24 PM1 trades$3180 min
2/21/2026, 7:34:56 AM1 trades$3080 min
6/20/2026, 3:27:47 PM14 trades$3004 min
6/28/2026, 1:12:31 AM2 trades$2870 min
6/16/2026, 3:18:56 PM8 trades$2812 min
3/4/2026, 7:51:17 PM2 trades$2781 min
6/20/2026, 7:01:53 PM10 trades$2701 min
6/17/2026, 3:29:19 AM8 trades$2665 min
3/16/2026, 2:14:35 PM4 trades$2627 min
6/25/2026, 7:03:14 PM8 trades$2533 min
6/18/2026, 9:33:02 PM8 trades$2515 min
6/22/2026, 10:25:31 PM7 trades$2490 min
6/21/2026, 3:59:25 PM15 trades$2473 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-06
02-28
03-11
03-21
04-08
06-20
06-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.8 / M26.2 / H58.1