@MoneyShkreli

#370,5203

0x32ebcee7c5e79cfe0d57cbad767a1cb02785a86e

~78d· 208 markets · 1240 tradesVol: $68,8922026-08-04 14:20:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

11% (13/120)0/20
0.14x (win $66 / loss $457)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -12.2190/15
Sortino -10.6040/10
$-0.5131 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1857 (120 markets)3.2/10
9/50 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 719% of peak ($454 / $63)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+30
Lottery Player
68% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
9% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#88,911$52Vol: $35,741
SPORTS#1,465,364$-20Vol: $9,286
💰 FINANCE#600,232$-23Vol: $7,528
🎭 CULTURE#64,504$11Vol: $5,910
💻 TECH#197,762$-2Vol: $4,602
CRYPTO#775,429$-0Vol: $2,214
🌤️ WEATHER#30,126$5Vol: $1,878
📈 ECONOMICS#73,625$3Vol: $319
📢 MENTIONS#56,146$0Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$30
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$68,892
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
208
total markets
Trades
1133B / 107S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~78d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $230
Week
$-0
Vol: $2,195
Month
$5
Vol: $3,397
All Time
$30
Vol: $68,892

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
11%
13W / 107L events
Realized PnL
$30
Win Rate
11%
13W / 107L
Profit Factor
0.14x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22 (0.7143803843605038% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?$8
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?$7
Will the US next strike Iran on March 29, 2026 (ET)?$6
Will the US next strike Iran on March 25, 2026 (ET)?$6
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?$6
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$6
Will the US next strike Iran on March 11, 2026 (ET)?$5
Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?$5
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?$4
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?$4

Top Losers

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$-41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?$-23
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-21
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$-20
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$-18
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? $-16
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$-14
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$-13
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?$-11
Megaquake by June 30?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.633
Sortino
-0.707
HHI
94
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.759
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
15.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
22.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1370s — normal for humanCV 1.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal94% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.12
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)68%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)32%

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 8:17:58 AM4 trades$5321 min
7/15/2026, 2:26:04 PM61 trades$4235 min
6/21/2026, 5:49:35 AM3 trades$700 min
7/22/2026, 7:08:01 PM2 trades$400 min
7/21/2026, 5:13:07 PM3 trades$400 min
2/7/2026, 6:13:45 PM3 trades$230 min
6/16/2026, 2:22:31 AM3 trades$141 min
2/18/2026, 8:26:44 PM7 trades$137 min
6/5/2026, 7:05:16 AM11 trades$110 min
6/11/2026, 3:08:07 AM11 trades$106 min
7/25/2026, 5:07:52 PM7 trades$101 min
6/17/2026, 8:57:55 AM11 trades$96 min
2/22/2026, 9:10:40 AM1 trades$80 min
7/13/2026, 7:47:49 PM2 trades$82 min
2/28/2026, 6:16:47 AM73 trades$815 min
2/28/2026, 6:44:13 AM31 trades$86 min
6/11/2026, 8:25:43 PM1 trades$70 min
2/20/2026, 9:09:56 PM1 trades$70 min
5/12/2026, 9:50:59 AM16 trades$70 min
2/19/2026, 11:40:40 AM1 trades$70 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-15
02-25
06-12
06-22
06-30
07-18
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 153 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.12/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L68 / M0 / H32