@shamu9527

#17,30683

0x331d8ec8d8931b479007f4931a6b25b0b6628846

~14d· 142 markets · 2041 tradesVol: $189,1042026-08-04 23:19:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (51/142)3/20
3.38x (win $6,321 / loss $1,870)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 19.96015/15
Sortino 3483.60610/10
$+0.3584 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 223 (142 markets)10/10
12/13 profitable days (92%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($7 / $4,451)10/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+8,193
Consistent
12/13 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 0%

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#235$8,193Vol: $189,104

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,193
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$189,104
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
142
total markets
Trades
644B / 1397S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
51W / 91L events
Realized PnL
$8,193
Win Rate
36%
51W / 91L
Profit Factor
3.38x
Avg Win
$124
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,353 (0.16511701138258222% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 7?$726
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 8?$329
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 28?$298
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 9?$298
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 28?$246
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on July 9?$242
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?$213
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?$209
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 28?$202
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?$193

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 9?$-138
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?$-137
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 27?$-116
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 30?$-91
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 11?$-86
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 11?$-76
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 9?$-67
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 9?$-63
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 27?$-58
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 9?$-57

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.004
Sortino
inf
HHI
444
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.358
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.6%
Top-5 markets
37.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
53.7
Very active
Markets / Day
3.7
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
26.2m
between trades
Night Trading
68%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.1

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 249s — normal for humanCV 2.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)68% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule54 trades/day — mass trading3.7 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.37
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.4%
Mid (20-55c)16.1%
High (>55c)55.4%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 3:27:17 AM32 trades$2,24614 min
6/30/2026, 8:31:11 AM6 trades$1,2204 min
6/27/2026, 4:40:53 AM34 trades$69613 min
7/8/2026, 2:23:58 AM43 trades$64611 min
7/9/2026, 6:58:52 AM34 trades$53313 min
7/8/2026, 12:52:04 AM16 trades$4958 min
6/28/2026, 12:43:23 AM4 trades$4890 min
7/10/2026, 2:55:10 AM28 trades$4652 min
6/4/2026, 2:08:39 PM10 trades$4542 min
6/27/2026, 5:01:22 AM22 trades$4369 min
7/10/2026, 7:56:23 AM21 trades$3984 min
7/7/2026, 1:15:23 AM10 trades$3920 min
6/28/2026, 2:47:53 AM9 trades$3870 min
6/29/2026, 9:17:19 AM8 trades$3812 min
7/10/2026, 12:19:13 AM10 trades$3760 min
6/6/2026, 7:05:30 AM24 trades$3564 min
6/30/2026, 5:55:31 AM43 trades$34516 min
7/9/2026, 7:27:44 AM1 trades$3420 min
6/30/2026, 6:25:13 AM3 trades$3385 min
6/28/2026, 2:00:22 AM27 trades$3177 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-04
06-06
06-27
06-29
07-07
07-09
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.37/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.4 / M16.1 / H55.4