PicklePredictor

@PicklePredictor

#31,98841

0x33e5945c1f0843c3068d8418ba90c2accd081c91

~277d· 1154 markets · 8831 tradesVol: $1,852,764 @picklepredictor2026-08-05 17:26:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (891/1123)20/20
0.92x (win $24,815 / loss $27,075)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3970/15
Sortino -0.4480/10
$-0.0023 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 130 (1123 markets)10/10
157/236 profitable days (67%)9.1/10
Max DD 224% of peak ($6,596 / $2,945)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+3,763
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Whale
$966,480 invested
Consistent
157/236 profitable days
High Roller
$1,714/day
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#2,934$2,214Vol: $856,438
🏛️ POLITICS#41,989$223Vol: $458,993
SPORTS#1,779,038$-357Vol: $124,066
📈 ECONOMICS#4,059$635Vol: $105,769
💰 FINANCE#4,709$856Vol: $105,107
CRYPTO#1,378,688$-46Vol: $73,474
📢 MENTIONS#2,198$501Vol: $34,570
💻 TECH#14,872$15Vol: $5,894
🌤️ WEATHER#35,098$4Vol: $3,103

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,763
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,852,764
Total Redeem
$30,934
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1154
total markets
Trades
4942B / 3889S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~277d

Periods

#2
Today
$-51
Vol: $65
Week
$-138
Vol: $1,637
Month
$-247
Vol: $4,297
All Time
$3,763
Vol: $1,852,764

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
891W / 232L events
Realized PnL
$3,763
Win Rate
79%
891W / 232L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-140

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,163 (1.1062523586535342% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1,593
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37.5 and 38.0 million views on day 5?$1,508
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1,062
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$700
Will MrBeast's next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3?$591
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$581
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$526
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$511
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$497
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$497

Top Losers

LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner$-4,995
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-1,962
Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5?$-1,434
Will Franco Parisi come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$-1,412
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$-1,178
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1?$-1,150
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$-1,004
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 75 million views on day 5?$-819
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$-598
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$-554

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.021
Sortino
-0.014
HHI
115
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.6%
Top-5 markets
18.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.7
Active
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.6m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 258s — normal for humanCV 2.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active2.0 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.81
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.4%
Mid (20-55c)8.6%
High (>55c)86%

Sessions

#12
3/7/2026, 8:07:49 PM6 trades$12,2701 min
6/3/2026, 11:24:42 PM2 trades$11,8600 min
3/8/2026, 6:18:51 PM5 trades$11,3732 min
6/1/2026, 8:35:31 PM4 trades$10,5012 min
5/4/2026, 10:42:40 PM2 trades$8,0240 min
2/22/2026, 2:35:30 PM33 trades$7,91737 min
5/2/2026, 4:12:26 PM111 trades$7,75337 min
2/25/2026, 8:34:00 PM23 trades$7,38626 min
1/8/2026, 3:37:46 PM13 trades$7,14310 min
5/3/2026, 3:09:48 PM57 trades$7,06423 min
4/4/2026, 4:01:43 PM74 trades$7,00811 min
1/2/2026, 4:41:39 PM7 trades$6,72710 min
3/13/2026, 8:47:25 PM5 trades$6,6742 min
4/5/2026, 6:09:53 PM11 trades$6,4890 min
2/10/2026, 3:07:51 AM2 trades$6,4470 min
4/13/2026, 7:15:11 PM7 trades$6,3960 min
2/21/2026, 4:59:48 PM16 trades$6,17713 min
2/2/2026, 7:22:48 PM18 trades$5,9941 min
2/27/2026, 10:19:27 PM1 trades$5,9940 min
2/9/2026, 11:09:29 AM6 trades$5,7936 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-18
12-03
01-22
03-07
04-19
06-06
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.81/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.4 / M8.6 / H86