@AshtonReeves

#3,006,31082

0x3439a760b679e85bdd408681a2838d99aebc930f

~16d· 62 markets · 613 tradesVol: $220,0342026-08-04 22:23:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (28/62)7.6/20
2.76x (win $7,492 / loss $2,711)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.76815/15
Sortino 19.96510/10
$+0.5681 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 794 (62 markets)8.5/10
10/16 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 31% of peak ($1,504 / $4,780)7.7/10

Badges

2
DCA Master
Avg 9.9 entries/market
Consistent
10/16 profitable days

Categories

2
₿ CRYPTO#1,663,180$-3,680Vol: $199,144
⚽ SPORTS#30,154$1,408Vol: $20,890

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,273
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$220,034
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
62
total markets
Trades
171B / 442S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Week
$-2
Vol: $56
Month
$-2
Vol: $56
All Time
$-2,273
Vol: $220,034

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
28W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-2,273
Win Rate
45%
28W / 34L
Profit Factor
2.76x
Avg Win
$268
Avg Loss
$-80

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,674 (2.496605165077423% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$4,695
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$501
T20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Galle Gallants$478
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3PM ET$335
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2PM ET$245
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$242
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2AM ET$199
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6AM ET$125
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$119
Solana Up or Down - July 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$96

Top Losers

Exact Score: Senegal 1 - 0 Iraq?$-200
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$-200
Germany to win the second half?$-200
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-200
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-200
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$-200
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-200
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4AM ET$-152

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.242
Sortino
0.770
HHI
821
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.568
Kelly %
6.8%
Half-Kelly
3.4%
Top-1 market
22%
Top-5 markets
50.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.7
Active
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 165s — normal for humanCV 2.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity23 trades/day — high frequency2.3 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.89
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.9%
Mid (20-55c)15.8%
High (>55c)71.3%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 8:03:04 AM7 trades$4,2251 min
7/5/2026, 5:02:53 PM8 trades$2,4910 min
6/25/2026, 10:03:32 PM4 trades$2,0971 min
6/25/2026, 9:27:11 PM3 trades$1,3530 min
6/26/2026, 6:36:43 PM10 trades$1,2897 min
7/2/2026, 6:51:56 AM41 trades$9565 min
6/23/2026, 8:52:04 AM10 trades$82710 min
6/24/2026, 7:06:29 PM16 trades$8058 min
6/26/2026, 8:00:20 PM6 trades$7690 min
6/25/2026, 3:44:22 AM52 trades$66610 min
7/18/2026, 1:53:06 PM2 trades$5690 min
6/30/2026, 12:51:31 PM17 trades$5650 min
6/24/2026, 6:26:23 AM24 trades$4433 min
6/25/2026, 3:11:17 AM22 trades$4366 min
6/24/2026, 10:26:44 AM22 trades$42112 min
7/2/2026, 7:16:01 AM28 trades$4083 min
6/25/2026, 6:11:28 PM7 trades$3711 min
6/25/2026, 6:23:26 PM10 trades$3682 min
7/2/2026, 5:02:05 AM19 trades$3598 min
6/25/2026, 3:31:28 AM23 trades$3467 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-22
06-24
06-26
06-28
06-30
07-02
07-04
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.89/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.9 / M15.8 / H71.3