@Budgen

#366,14129

0x345f4d0520d226c277dfb3d21fe5b5fac380a6ac

~6d· 9 markets · 58 tradesVol: $13,7492026-08-05 16:36:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (3/4)20/20
0.50x (win $114 / loss $227)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.0315 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3103 (4 markets)0/10
2/3 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 199% of peak ($227 / $114)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+32
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20
Consistent
2/3 profitable days

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,343,116$-16Vol: $12,778
⚽ SPORTS#169,796$47Vol: $972

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$32
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,749
Total Redeem
$972
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9
total markets
Trades
26B / 32S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~6d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
3W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$32
Win Rate
75%
3W / 1L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-227

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $114 (3.582098959974787% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)$56
Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)$39
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$19

Top Losers

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$-227

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.229
Sortino
-37633.333
HHI
511
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.074
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.3%
Top-5 markets
42.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
6/24
Normal
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 123s — normal for humanCV 1.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps6/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.25
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)61.5%

Sessions

#12
5/28/2026, 5:51:29 AM8 trades$1,5463 min
5/28/2026, 3:13:16 AM4 trades$1,4160 min
5/28/2026, 7:18:49 AM7 trades$1,2763 min
4/23/2026, 6:15:40 AM3 trades$9264 min
7/10/2026, 8:27:04 AM4 trades$7100 min
7/27/2026, 7:28:06 AM11 trades$5795 min
4/27/2026, 7:49:28 AM2 trades$4990 min
4/27/2026, 8:38:56 AM2 trades$4960 min
7/27/2026, 8:02:58 AM6 trades$4850 min
4/27/2026, 8:27:10 AM2 trades$4771 min
4/23/2026, 3:22:24 AM2 trades$4670 min
5/28/2026, 4:39:16 AM3 trades$1271 min
5/27/2026, 4:26:25 AM2 trades$851 min
7/10/2026, 7:23:05 AM2 trades$780 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
04-27
05-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 31 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L38.5 / M0 / H61.5