@ilyho

#6,12539

0x3526087ea139532d71198813c2dd55defaefaaba

~78d· 77 markets · 1187 tradesVol: $1,466,5772026-08-04 21:13:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (18/77)0/20
1.15x (win $100,824 / loss $87,579)4.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.62611.7/15
Sortino 1.24110/10
$+0.0980 per $1 invested4.9/10
HHI 865 (77 markets)8.2/10
9/45 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 85% of peak ($73,148 / $86,393)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+26,804
Lottery Player
85% entries < $0.20
Whale
$135,142 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,075$38,726Vol: $1,255,295
🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,642$-11,922Vol: $211,282

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$26,804
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,466,577
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
77
total markets
Trades
858B / 329S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~78d

Periods

#2
Week
$-70
Vol: $3,000
Month
$-249
Vol: $9,690
All Time
$26,804
Vol: $1,466,577

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
18W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$26,804
Win Rate
23%
18W / 59L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$5,601
Avg Loss
$-1,484

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $59,736 (2.2286171361374487% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will XRP dip to $1.60 in January?$26,910
Will Solana dip to $70 in February?$25,089
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?$7,738
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?$6,724
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?$5,694
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 22?$5,263
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 23?$4,567
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?$3,680
Will XRP dip to $1.20 February 2-8?$3,180
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?$2,479

Top Losers

Will Solana dip to $60 in February?$-23,289
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$-10,685
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$-8,886
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?$-7,110
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?$-4,810
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?$-3,717
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$-3,449
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 23?$-3,346
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?$-3,009
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$-1,759

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.032
Sortino
0.063
HHI
679
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.094
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.3%
Top-5 markets
47.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 165s — normal for humanCV 2.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.25
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)85.4%
Mid (20-55c)9.9%
High (>55c)4.7%

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 6:31:28 AM2 trades$23,6040 min
6/3/2026, 1:56:45 PM6 trades$20,0004 min
1/31/2026, 5:08:12 PM5 trades$16,5894 min
5/30/2026, 5:06:36 AM11 trades$15,0420 min
5/22/2026, 8:19:22 AM3 trades$14,4490 min
2/1/2026, 2:48:54 PM22 trades$12,3203 min
5/24/2026, 6:22:55 AM14 trades$11,4204 min
2/4/2026, 5:38:09 PM1 trades$9,7100 min
1/21/2026, 5:27:20 PM5 trades$9,0091 min
2/4/2026, 6:13:33 PM6 trades$8,8752 min
4/23/2026, 1:42:28 PM31 trades$8,5018 min
2/4/2026, 5:32:03 PM1 trades$7,9000 min
6/24/2026, 6:38:19 PM11 trades$7,2580 min
1/21/2026, 5:15:00 PM8 trades$7,2183 min
2/3/2026, 6:54:02 PM121 trades$7,10443 min
2/5/2026, 12:46:37 AM5 trades$6,3432 min
2/5/2026, 3:07:29 PM1 trades$5,9590 min
1/31/2026, 4:47:30 PM2 trades$5,8501 min
2/5/2026, 4:46:11 PM5 trades$5,8304 min
5/22/2026, 2:34:43 PM22 trades$5,6241 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-16
01-29
02-11
03-16
04-27
06-06
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 177 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.25/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L85.4 / M9.9 / H4.7