pebbc

@pebbc

#2,581,89829

0x35413dd238ba2a899c9caf70fb2965994ef7b4b1

~139d· 817 markets · 1264 tradesVol: $228,359 @NYang790192026-08-04 20:59:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (382/796)9/20
0.78x (win $183 / loss $235)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7580/15
Sortino -0.9100/10
$-0.0061 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 571 (796 markets)9.6/10
77/107 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 469% of peak ($142 / $30)0/10

Badges

3
Consistent
77/107 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#1,486,687$-113Vol: $164,365
🏛️ POLITICS#203,618$6Vol: $15,311
🎭 CULTURE#561,416$-2Vol: $2,016
💰 FINANCE#452,989$-1Vol: $382
📈 ECONOMICS#263,602$0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-109
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$228,359
Total Redeem
$99
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
817
total markets
Trades
1070B / 194S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~139d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-109
Vol: $228,359

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
382W / 414L events
Realized PnL
$-109
Win Rate
48%
382W / 414L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $105 (0.9629426297007959% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$60
Bitcoin above $84,000 on April 11?$26
Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6?$19
Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?$10
Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?$6
Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?$6
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$4
Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?$4
Solana above $215 on January 24?$3
Solana above $245 on December 6?$2

Top Losers

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?$-79
Bitcoin above $85,000 on April 25?$-73
Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?$-18
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?$-8
Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?$-5
Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?$-5
Ethereum above $2,700 on May 23?$-5
Ripple above $2.40 on January 10?$-4
Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?$-2
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.040
Sortino
-0.024
HHI
261
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.9%
Top-5 markets
29.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
25.8m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 2.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.35
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.8%
Mid (20-55c)2.2%
High (>55c)93%

Sessions

#12
11/7/2024, 5:54:21 PM2 trades$5391 min
11/7/2024, 4:37:45 AM18 trades$39524 min
11/6/2024, 9:26:37 PM1 trades$2740 min
11/6/2024, 9:47:01 PM5 trades$2743 min
11/7/2024, 7:33:17 AM1 trades$2710 min
11/7/2024, 6:21:35 PM1 trades$2690 min
11/7/2024, 7:18:13 PM1 trades$2690 min
11/7/2024, 8:14:37 AM1 trades$2510 min
11/7/2024, 1:44:51 AM2 trades$2461 min
11/7/2024, 2:24:03 AM1 trades$1980 min
12/16/2024, 2:46:25 AM2 trades$1904 min
11/6/2024, 11:31:19 PM1 trades$1520 min
11/7/2024, 7:07:19 AM1 trades$1240 min
5/22/2025, 12:33:27 PM1 trades$1180 min
6/4/2026, 12:42:09 PM32 trades$1166 min
6/16/2025, 3:42:41 PM5 trades$1142 min
5/22/2025, 1:36:21 PM1 trades$1130 min
5/23/2025, 11:16:47 AM4 trades$1105 min
12/2/2024, 3:44:46 AM5 trades$1092 min
12/19/2025, 8:48:13 PM14 trades$1096 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-21
12-10
04-04
07-18
12-23
02-27
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 411 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.8 / M2.2 / H93