@haraya

#3,068,20838

0x355f3b6a0e5b430a21b5067403c2f4507dbc0df8

~192d· 518 markets · 2981 tradesVol: $1,847,2932026-08-04 23:42:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (358/508)20/20
0.70x (win $58,813 / loss $83,656)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6970/15
Sortino -1.9050/10
$-0.0286 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 90 (508 markets)10/10
91/145 profitable days (63%)8.2/10
Max DD 942% of peak ($33,918 / $3,599)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 70%
DCA Master
Avg 5.8 entries/market
Whale
$869,969 invested
Consistent
91/145 profitable days
High Roller
$2,042/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,040$-22,346Vol: $1,263,168
🎭 CULTURE#814,396$-2,480Vol: $341,897
📈 ECONOMICS#4,015$647Vol: $106,570
💰 FINANCE#2,934$1,584Vol: $64,945
💻 TECH#258,245$-1,764Vol: $38,580
CRYPTO#36,746$697Vol: $16,727
📢 MENTIONS#8,285$59Vol: $9,360
SPORTS#76,241$273Vol: $5,638
🌤️ WEATHER#253,528$-14Vol: $407

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-23,345
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,847,293
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
518
total markets
Trades
2021B / 960S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~192d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-8
Vol: $0
Month
$-15
Vol: $0
All Time
$-23,345
Vol: $1,847,293

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
358W / 150L events
Realized PnL
$-23,345
Win Rate
70%
358W / 150L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$164
Avg Loss
$-565

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,809 (0.677193490463234% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will another pairing advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?$8,448
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$4,663
No one announced as next James Bond?$2,698
Will the next James Bond be British?$2,237
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?$1,193
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$1,191
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$1,188
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$1,183
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1,062
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1,039

Top Losers

Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?$-16,196
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$-6,762
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$-6,329
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?$-5,941
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-4,233
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?$-4,041
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$-3,656
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-3,451
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$-3,285
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$-2,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.088
Sortino
-0.067
HHI
80
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
10.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 82s — normal for humanCV 1.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.79
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.5%
Mid (20-55c)9.8%
High (>55c)80.7%

Sessions

#12
8/14/2025, 5:12:04 AM14 trades$28,55015 min
10/30/2025, 1:36:33 AM53 trades$27,46145 min
1/30/2026, 2:41:38 PM18 trades$22,62511 min
2/6/2026, 10:07:11 PM12 trades$19,84812 min
2/7/2026, 1:02:57 AM5 trades$16,6513 min
6/3/2025, 6:58:18 PM1 trades$13,8530 min
7/2/2025, 1:46:01 PM7 trades$12,92012 min
8/18/2025, 6:22:08 PM5 trades$12,1545 min
2/28/2026, 9:01:31 AM1 trades$11,7670 min
9/19/2025, 3:46:56 AM9 trades$11,4409 min
1/28/2026, 2:34:59 PM37 trades$10,49330 min
9/8/2025, 6:21:10 AM11 trades$10,1048 min
2/28/2026, 10:30:21 PM2 trades$9,6771 min
8/5/2025, 10:40:46 PM13 trades$9,1168 min
8/13/2025, 1:22:55 AM8 trades$9,0218 min
8/14/2025, 4:53:10 AM5 trades$8,5734 min
2/28/2026, 9:15:13 AM6 trades$8,5647 min
7/9/2025, 3:48:56 AM2 trades$8,5451 min
10/26/2025, 11:30:51 AM7 trades$8,4383 min
6/5/2025, 8:04:16 AM2 trades$8,3710 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
07-27
09-03
10-13
11-16
01-12
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 208 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.5 / M9.8 / H80.7