@Hormuzisnotstr8
#4,390830x364d9754b1c9b754471785546ed715ede39f9f8f
~50d· 76 markets · 1776 tradesVol: $670,7942026-08-05 20:51:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
72% (54/75)20/20
1.81x (win $60,630 / loss $33,448)12.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.37315/15
Sortino 6.15110/10
$+0.1347 per $1 invested6.7/10
HHI 798 (75 markets)8.5/10
19/31 profitable days (61%)7.8/10
Max DD 59% of peak ($16,052 / $27,182)2.2/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 72%
Profitable
PnL $+39,423
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 31.3 entries/market
Whale
$201,752 invested
Consistent
19/31 profitable days
High Roller
$1,739/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Categories
7⚽ SPORTS#1,761$36,459Vol: $312,993
📢 MENTIONS#346$5,067Vol: $145,911
🏛️ POLITICS#13,270$1,622Vol: $105,448
💰 FINANCE#657,957$-4,505Vol: $80,937
₿ CRYPTO#71,585$166Vol: $20,863
📈 ECONOMICS#6,207$322Vol: $2,675
🎭 CULTURE#11,111$292Vol: $1,967
Overview
#1Net PnL
$39,423
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$670,794
Total Redeem
$35,471
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
1012B / 764S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
72%
54W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$39,423
Win Rate
72%
54W / 21L
Profit Factor
1.81x
Avg Win
$1,123
Avg Loss
$-1,672
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $32,986 (0.8367245526647082% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$16,429
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals$12,021
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?$4,536
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3,695
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$3,470
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$3,257
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals$2,661
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1,872
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1,675
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$1,414
Top Losers
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-11,760
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$-7,571
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$-4,246
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$-3,421
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$-2,298
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,643
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$-876
Will Leavitt say "Hamas" or "Hezbollah" during the next White House press briefing?$-592
Will Leavitt say "President Xi" during the next White House press briefing?$-366
Will Trump or Melania say "Movie Star" at the Military Mothers event?$-246
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.174
Sortino
0.228
HHI
1242
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.116
Kelly %
24.0%
Half-Kelly
12.0%
Top-1 market
22.4%
Top-5 markets
66.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
15.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
9s
between trades
Avg Gap
27.7m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.6
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
51% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 6.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity15 trades/day — very active0.7 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
31.31
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)12.6%
Mid (20-55c)41.7%
High (>55c)45.7%
Sessions
#125/21/2026, 2:28:31 PM16 trades$40,3181 min
5/17/2026, 1:25:46 PM2 trades$22,1951 min
7/10/2026, 7:45:52 PM74 trades$21,29227 min
6/2/2026, 7:45:46 PM2 trades$20,8000 min
4/27/2026, 3:54:24 PM15 trades$14,3751 min
4/20/2026, 1:41:48 PM77 trades$13,1009 min
4/27/2026, 9:16:50 PM3 trades$10,1721 min
4/2/2026, 7:13:35 PM40 trades$10,07411 min
5/29/2026, 5:58:03 PM19 trades$7,1682 min
4/26/2026, 12:37:52 AM194 trades$6,94023 min
4/21/2026, 3:25:10 PM86 trades$6,5369 min
4/12/2026, 1:33:23 AM19 trades$6,3170 min
5/20/2026, 3:36:44 AM2 trades$5,9520 min
5/15/2026, 3:58:42 AM44 trades$5,8449 min
7/10/2026, 7:05:04 PM27 trades$5,75013 min
7/6/2026, 7:04:34 PM83 trades$5,69614 min
7/2/2026, 11:53:05 PM21 trades$5,5258 min
4/12/2026, 1:43:27 AM15 trades$5,1856 min
5/29/2026, 4:15:12 PM12 trades$4,7922 min
4/26/2026, 1:35:08 AM33 trades$4,39013 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-31
04-21
04-30
05-21
06-10
07-03
07-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 32 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 31.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.6 / M41.7 / H45.7