@Marcy-an…ital

#2,782,40039

0x36757593ee229d3f5087cb38a527bf1f3718ceb3

~41d· 183 markets · 899 tradesVol: $269,5182026-08-05 16:39:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (127/169)20/20
0.30x (win $120 / loss $402)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9600/15
Sortino -3.8990/10
$-0.0558 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 243 (169 markets)10/10
18/28 profitable days (64%)8.6/10
Max DD 2507% of peak ($326 / $13)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 75%
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
9% sells
Consistent
18/28 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#799,067$-264Vol: $259,304
🏛️ POLITICS#1,108,207$-4Vol: $3,796
⚽ SPORTS#1,481,317$-23Vol: $1,812
📢 MENTIONS#17,822$12Vol: $1,752
💰 FINANCE#574,755$-10Vol: $1,224
₿ CRYPTO#172,581$23Vol: $928
📈 ECONOMICS#641,469$-35Vol: $642
💻 TECH#67,331$0Vol: $60

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-301
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$269,518
Total Redeem
$250
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
183
total markets
Trades
815B / 84S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $0
Week
$7
Vol: $0
Month
$6
Vol: $0
All Time
$-301
Vol: $269,518

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
127W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$-301
Win Rate
75%
127W / 42L
Profit Factor
0.3x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $38 (0.12561559962731267% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026?$20
Kash Patel out by June 30?$10
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$7
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?$6
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$6
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?$5
Will GOAT be the highest grossing movie this weekend?$5
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?$4
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?$3
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?$2

Top Losers

Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$-265
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?$-37
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-34
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?$-11
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?$-7
Will Trump say "Monroe" during the State of the Union address?$-7
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?$-6
Will Wuthering Heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend?$-4
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?$-3
Will the State of the Union be 100 minutes or longer?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.203
Sortino
-0.122
HHI
225
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.060
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.4%
Top-5 markets
26.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.2m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 156s — normal for humanCV 2.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.81
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18%
Mid (20-55c)38.8%
High (>55c)43.2%

Sessions

#12
2/24/2026, 9:44:52 PM172 trades$1,074127 min
2/28/2026, 11:08:45 PM8 trades$3067 min
3/26/2026, 8:41:27 PM1 trades$2500 min
2/28/2026, 9:39:41 PM47 trades$24940 min
2/28/2026, 10:26:33 PM24 trades$21033 min
2/28/2026, 11:48:31 AM1 trades$1800 min
6/27/2026, 1:45:01 PM4 trades$1601 min
2/25/2026, 7:43:22 PM7 trades$12810 min
2/28/2026, 9:13:31 PM12 trades$10618 min
2/22/2026, 9:07:54 AM2 trades$1000 min
2/15/2026, 11:38:21 PM12 trades$9414 min
3/1/2026, 9:00:41 AM3 trades$861 min
6/5/2026, 12:16:49 PM5 trades$783 min
4/28/2026, 3:14:16 PM2 trades$700 min
2/25/2026, 8:09:14 PM15 trades$6914 min
6/27/2026, 1:51:47 PM2 trades$670 min
2/19/2026, 9:46:02 PM7 trades$6613 min
4/23/2026, 9:08:48 AM9 trades$631 min
2/25/2026, 12:04:08 AM5 trades$6017 min
2/28/2026, 11:28:13 AM5 trades$605 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-08
02-13
02-17
02-21
02-26
03-03
03-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.81/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18 / M38.8 / H43.2