@marcelobravo
#167,128700x36b6d6027e2217f341275b790c6d1296d55be523
~95d· 139 markets · 649 tradesVol: $19,1512026-08-05 17:30:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
62% (53/86)15.8/20
1.40x (win $1,271 / loss $909)7.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.63115/15
Sortino 3.96510/10
$+0.0717 per $1 invested3.6/10
HHI 279 (86 markets)10/10
30/48 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 125% of peak ($452 / $362)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+202
DCA Master
Avg 6.6 entries/market
Consistent
30/48 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8⚽ SPORTS#271,755$11Vol: $8,734
🏛️ POLITICS#85,166$57Vol: $5,132
📈 ECONOMICS#10,113$144Vol: $2,317
🌤️ WEATHER#33,786$4Vol: $2,280
💰 FINANCE#72,429$5Vol: $262
🎭 CULTURE#133,244$2Vol: $156
💻 TECH#180,823$-1Vol: $79
📢 MENTIONS#128,851$-10Vol: $39
Overview
#1Net PnL
$220
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,151
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
139
total markets
Trades
395B / 254S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~95d
Periods
#2Today
$11
Vol: $60
Week
$3
Vol: $110
Month
$13
Vol: $110
All Time
$220
Vol: $19,151
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
62%
53W / 33L events
Realized PnL
$202
Win Rate
62%
53W / 33L
Profit Factor
1.4x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-32
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $794 (3.9303878883831387% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$480
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$259
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?$55
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$47
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$38
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$37
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$26
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$23
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$22
Top Losers
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-146
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$-96
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-80
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-78
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-64
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-52
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-48
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$-43
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-37
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-36
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.085
Sortino
0.176
HHI
197
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.084
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
21.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.9h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3708s — normal for humanCV 0.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.58
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)9.6%
Mid (20-55c)12.4%
High (>55c)78%
Sessions
#125/8/2026, 7:15:51 AM6 trades$1559 min
7/15/2026, 6:27:38 AM7 trades$1432 min
5/20/2026, 8:58:11 AM4 trades$1385 min
4/7/2026, 11:13:39 AM4 trades$1261 min
7/28/2026, 12:18:40 PM8 trades$1262 min
5/12/2026, 8:54:07 AM4 trades$1140 min
7/14/2026, 1:50:13 PM9 trades$1091 min
4/1/2026, 11:11:25 AM7 trades$1083 min
5/5/2026, 1:54:58 AM2 trades$1070 min
4/23/2026, 3:01:20 PM8 trades$1064 min
4/15/2026, 7:50:30 PM4 trades$1033 min
4/2/2026, 9:25:57 AM8 trades$1000 min
5/8/2026, 6:24:19 PM1 trades$1000 min
7/16/2026, 6:06:17 AM2 trades$1000 min
7/13/2026, 12:44:01 PM7 trades$952 min
6/30/2026, 1:58:28 PM7 trades$920 min
5/12/2026, 7:04:32 AM3 trades$883 min
5/12/2026, 9:25:47 AM2 trades$830 min
7/2/2026, 8:10:04 AM3 trades$814 min
6/2/2026, 9:06:30 AM2 trades$770 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
04-22
05-16
06-04
06-17
07-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.6 / M12.4 / H78