@0x3709ea…3906

#3,070,27110

0x3709ea1a8a93f741f28a522f7cd2c954166d3d7e

~134d· 873 markets · 15275 tradesVol: $1,975,3382026-08-04 18:53:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (252/873)0/20
0.60x (win $68,720 / loss $115,328)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.1810/15
Sortino -5.8070/10
$-0.1445 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 100 (873 markets)10/10
27/119 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 26545% of peak ($46,785 / $176)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
Whale
$322,467 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#1,677,027$-19,318Vol: $1,355,324
🏛️ POLITICS#1,635,390$-6,039Vol: $308,908
🎭 CULTURE#816,559$-8,951Vol: $280,143
📢 MENTIONS#171,040$-289Vol: $17,318
⚽ SPORTS#1,534,934$-33Vol: $5,000
🌤️ WEATHER#244,775$-10Vol: $5,000
💻 TECH#222,622$-7Vol: $107

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-34,798
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,975,338
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
873
total markets
Trades
3832B / 11443S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~134d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
252W / 621L events
Realized PnL
$-34,798
Win Rate
29%
252W / 621L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$273
Avg Loss
$-186

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,415 (0.3855018287164959% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?$5,104
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 14?$4,338
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$3,972
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$2,744
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$1,735
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1,428
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$1,330
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$1,310
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$1,279
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?$1,236

Top Losers

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?$-5,526
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?$-3,779
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?$-3,746
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?$-2,768
Ripple above $1.69 on December 6?$-2,193
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$-2,111
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$-2,050
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-2,044
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$-1,757
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more? $-1,497

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.270
Sortino
-0.307
HHI
114
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.144
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
18.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.9m
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
80.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 126s — normal for humanCV 2.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency1.4 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.51
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.8%
Mid (20-55c)32.8%
High (>55c)20.4%

Sessions

#12
3/7/2026, 12:14:41 AM74 trades$21,585111 min
3/6/2026, 10:29:07 PM67 trades$16,85399 min
3/7/2026, 2:51:05 PM51 trades$14,40084 min
6/17/2026, 12:21:02 AM552 trades$10,82139 min
6/18/2026, 4:20:05 AM18 trades$9,6390 min
4/7/2026, 11:13:51 PM6 trades$8,4590 min
6/12/2026, 7:10:51 PM156 trades$8,11521 min
5/12/2026, 12:59:55 AM241 trades$7,5798 min
12/13/2024, 3:59:09 PM9 trades$7,4974 min
12/13/2024, 4:17:19 PM9 trades$5,58610 min
6/19/2026, 5:38:08 AM30 trades$5,4210 min
6/16/2026, 4:06:17 PM228 trades$5,10946 min
3/7/2026, 6:04:55 PM16 trades$4,31622 min
6/17/2026, 1:22:20 AM231 trades$4,2573 min
6/14/2026, 3:21:03 AM35 trades$4,1550 min
5/12/2026, 1:24:27 AM212 trades$4,0036 min
6/13/2026, 1:30:36 AM31 trades$3,9210 min
3/7/2026, 5:09:15 PM9 trades$3,88911 min
5/12/2026, 1:37:10 AM183 trades$3,83912 min
10/17/2025, 5:54:57 PM44 trades$3,7817 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-31
12-08
01-11
02-12
10-12
04-07
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 627 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
74.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.51/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.8 / M32.8 / H20.4