@MostlyQuiet

#2,597,3657

0x373334b2b6855717ab243aebeea90b24aef7f0e7

~8d· 13 markets · 58 tradesVol: $14,8702026-08-04 18:10:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (3/9)1.7/20
0.19x (win $256 / loss $1,356)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.4700/15
Sortino -7.9280/10
$-0.2522 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1499 (9 markets)5/10
2/7 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,317 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,361,478$-18Vol: $13,260
SPORTS#1,583,610$-48Vol: $900

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-115
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,870
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13
total markets
Trades
36B / 22S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
3W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-115
Win Rate
33%
3W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$85
Avg Loss
$-271

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $256 (2.223195697432338% of PnL)

Top Winners

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by June 30?$145
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$72
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?$40

Top Losers

Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?$-966
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?$-181
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$-122
Spread: Liberia (-2.5)$-47
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$-38

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.410
Sortino
-0.369
HHI
881
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.378
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15%
Top-5 markets
61.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
26.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
71%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
23
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1571s — normal for humanCV 1.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)71% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.56
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)61.1%

Sessions

#12
7/28/2026, 2:59:34 AM4 trades$7790 min
6/9/2026, 7:29:33 AM4 trades$6830 min
6/19/2026, 6:44:55 AM3 trades$6772 min
6/20/2026, 3:10:37 AM5 trades$6775 min
7/15/2026, 3:04:08 AM3 trades$6620 min
6/20/2026, 4:13:41 AM4 trades$6535 min
7/15/2026, 4:08:02 AM4 trades$3620 min
6/19/2026, 3:05:14 AM2 trades$3470 min
6/20/2026, 4:32:32 AM2 trades$3450 min
6/20/2026, 2:19:41 AM2 trades$3410 min
7/3/2026, 5:48:55 AM2 trades$3400 min
7/3/2026, 7:30:50 AM1 trades$3270 min
6/19/2026, 7:43:05 AM1 trades$3220 min
6/10/2026, 5:34:55 AM2 trades$650 min
6/10/2026, 6:44:31 AM2 trades$580 min
7/28/2026, 1:38:57 AM2 trades$550 min
6/9/2026, 5:48:33 AM3 trades$540 min
6/9/2026, 7:59:34 AM2 trades$470 min
7/15/2026, 3:09:26 AM2 trades$420 min
6/12/2026, 8:41:04 AM2 trades$190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-10
06-12
06-19
06-20
07-03
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L38.9 / M0 / H61.1