@auramaur

#2,746,18316

0x377d1939b32fefad321190085c0b28337275dddd

~108d· 454 markets · 1773 tradesVol: $21,5632026-08-04 22:23:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (100/261)4.2/20
0.67x (win $1,160 / loss $1,730)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5060/15
Sortino -1.6950/10
$-0.1048 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 666 (261 markets)9.2/10
34/83 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 646% of peak ($1,008 / $156)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,557,540$-180Vol: $9,469
CRYPTO#1,436,664$-76Vol: $3,005
💰 FINANCE#67,410$6Vol: $2,810
📈 ECONOMICS#628,534$-20Vol: $1,840
🎭 CULTURE#740,795$-28Vol: $1,325
💻 TECH#8,999$45Vol: $1,278
SPORTS#1,479,073$-22Vol: $1,217
🌤️ WEATHER#12,995$32Vol: $219

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-244
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,563
Total Redeem
$21
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
454
total markets
Trades
1128B / 645S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~108d

Periods

#2
Today
$35
Vol: $948
Week
$36
Vol: $1,170
Month
$30
Vol: $1,265
All Time
$-244
Vol: $21,563

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
100W / 161L events
Realized PnL
$-244
Win Rate
38%
100W / 161L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $506 (2.069727473606678% of PnL)

Top Winners

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$261
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$190
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$55
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$49
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$32
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?$28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$28
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?$27

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-685
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-93
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-67
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-45
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?$-43
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$-36
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$-29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$-29
ECB rate hike in 2026?$-24
Spain leading at halftime?$-22

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.078
Sortino
-0.068
HHI
91
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.164
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.7%
Top-5 markets
14.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.7
Active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1232s — normal for humanCV 1.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active3.2 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.57
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.3%
Mid (20-55c)27.6%
High (>55c)52.1%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 9:40:41 AM2 trades$3550 min
6/13/2026, 11:27:12 AM3 trades$3370 min
6/12/2026, 12:52:22 AM39 trades$3072 min
6/13/2026, 12:36:09 PM9 trades$2604 min
7/22/2026, 12:04:34 AM41 trades$2098 min
6/25/2026, 9:53:14 AM6 trades$2030 min
6/5/2026, 2:04:01 PM9 trades$1658 min
4/8/2026, 10:25:45 AM5 trades$1280 min
6/14/2026, 10:01:31 PM30 trades$1255 min
7/22/2026, 12:27:45 AM15 trades$1232 min
6/12/2026, 2:58:03 PM5 trades$1183 min
5/2/2026, 5:41:22 AM5 trades$1160 min
6/12/2026, 12:02:42 PM3 trades$980 min
6/10/2026, 11:06:36 PM4 trades$940 min
4/17/2026, 2:39:04 PM18 trades$887 min
8/1/2026, 6:07:24 PM2 trades$830 min
4/25/2026, 6:03:34 PM4 trades$771 min
6/10/2026, 2:12:48 PM2 trades$760 min
6/5/2026, 1:49:13 PM8 trades$734 min
4/26/2026, 9:17:08 PM4 trades$710 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-18
04-02
04-27
05-23
06-14
06-27
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.3 / M27.6 / H52.1