@brkalpha

#2,987,97032

0x37a2c4190e91d269b2ac2e26f49a0b59a268775d

~53d· 119 markets · 624 tradesVol: $53,5192026-08-04 17:22:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (69/115)15/20
0.40x (win $2,362 / loss $5,961)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2990/15
Sortino -4.2740/10
$-0.1317 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 457 (115 markets)10/10
27/48 profitable days (56%)6.6/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($4,410 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#628,076$-81Vol: $19,401
🏛️ POLITICS#1,615,705$-1,063Vol: $18,700
SPORTS#1,712,770$-142Vol: $6,557
🌤️ WEATHER#295,553$-527Vol: $5,464

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,847
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$53,519
Total Redeem
$108
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
119
total markets
Trades
529B / 95S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~53d

Periods

#2
Today
$-60
Vol: $1,184
Week
$-97
Vol: $2,135
Month
$-102
Vol: $2,135
All Time
$-1,847
Vol: $53,519

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
69W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$-1,847
Win Rate
60%
69W / 46L
Profit Factor
0.4x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-135

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,011 (0.54707522399372% of PnL)

Top Winners

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10?$369
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $140 in July?$342
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 12?$300
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $348 Week of July 27 2026?$164
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $224 in July?$148
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$115
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$106
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?$83
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)$79
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$65

Top Losers

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$-1,966
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?$-640
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 12?$-629
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11?$-539
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 10?$-448
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-253
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$-251
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$-203
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 12?$-172
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-94

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.223
Sortino
-0.164
HHI
237
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.172
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
27.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 212s — normal for humanCV 4.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.78
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.5%
Mid (20-55c)15.5%
High (>55c)69%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 12:32:44 AM1 trades$4,1150 min
6/11/2026, 8:56:31 PM6 trades$2,8873 min
7/23/2026, 11:23:55 AM1 trades$1,2430 min
6/17/2026, 9:04:53 PM1 trades$1,2250 min
6/10/2026, 4:31:10 PM5 trades$9705 min
6/10/2026, 3:49:37 PM2 trades$8502 min
7/23/2026, 10:57:43 AM1 trades$8000 min
6/12/2026, 3:56:52 PM4 trades$7201 min
3/16/2026, 3:49:43 PM1 trades$6420 min
4/5/2026, 4:08:45 AM5 trades$6220 min
6/12/2026, 4:22:09 PM6 trades$6213 min
6/12/2026, 3:14:34 AM44 trades$5679 min
4/9/2026, 10:03:53 PM2 trades$5000 min
6/18/2026, 1:25:02 PM5 trades$4902 min
6/18/2026, 5:54:53 PM4 trades$4510 min
7/31/2026, 2:10:21 PM9 trades$4174 min
3/12/2026, 9:54:33 PM3 trades$3911 min
7/23/2026, 3:32:37 PM23 trades$36015 min
6/12/2026, 8:27:18 PM3 trades$3100 min
4/10/2026, 7:08:13 PM6 trades$3000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-05
03-15
04-10
04-28
06-09
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.5 / M15.5 / H69