@joe48691

#395,52330

0x37c7b322adc53f5d6f9ffad5df4912b2beb9100c

~46d· 43 markets · 291 tradesVol: $4,8022026-08-05 15:52:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (23/39)14.5/20
0.65x (win $205 / loss $313)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7280/15
Sortino -3.1400/10
$-0.1384 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 684 (39 markets)9.1/10
15/26 profitable days (58%)6.9/10
Max DD 1406% of peak ($194 / $14)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+24
DCA Master
Avg 6.4 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#14,879$24Vol: $4,802

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$24
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,802
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
129B / 162S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $21
Month
$-4
Vol: $26
All Time
$24
Vol: $4,802

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
23W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$24
Win Rate
59%
23W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $118 (4.865924092409242% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$48
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$43
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$27
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$16
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$15
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$14
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$11
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$7
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$6
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$2

Top Losers

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$-88
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-53
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$-40
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-38
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$-33
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$-25
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$-17
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-9
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$-8
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.140
Sortino
-0.132
HHI
417
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.149
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.3%
Top-5 markets
34.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.6h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6358s — normal for humanCV 1.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.41
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.2%
Mid (20-55c)15.5%
High (>55c)71.3%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 12:01:24 AM14 trades$3810 min
6/17/2026, 7:09:07 PM15 trades$1152 min
6/19/2026, 7:08:01 AM8 trades$933 min
6/6/2026, 1:42:40 PM4 trades$801 min
6/6/2026, 7:44:07 PM3 trades$500 min
6/5/2026, 6:17:39 PM4 trades$413 min
6/13/2026, 8:50:36 PM6 trades$410 min
6/18/2026, 12:01:59 AM2 trades$390 min
6/20/2026, 12:00:55 AM3 trades$370 min
5/15/2026, 11:36:23 AM13 trades$365 min
6/25/2026, 10:23:58 PM2 trades$330 min
6/6/2026, 3:26:37 PM2 trades$330 min
6/4/2026, 4:07:22 AM2 trades$290 min
6/5/2026, 10:05:10 PM2 trades$280 min
6/20/2026, 3:34:32 AM3 trades$280 min
6/8/2026, 11:28:36 AM4 trades$250 min
6/3/2026, 9:13:22 PM2 trades$220 min
5/16/2026, 2:52:26 PM10 trades$213 min
5/25/2026, 7:03:53 PM2 trades$210 min
7/31/2026, 4:47:38 AM3 trades$190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-12
05-17
06-03
06-08
06-18
06-24
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.2 / M15.5 / H71.3