horse2026

@horse2026

#2,932,89687

0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512

~226d· 2743 markets · 38373 tradesVol: $12,004,357 @zhum164642026-08-04 18:55:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (1588/2742)14/20
2.89x (win $289,102 / loss $100,011)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.32515/15
Sortino 17.62910/10
$+0.1188 per $1 invested5.9/10
HHI 32 (2742 markets)10/10
125/214 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($20,891 / $192,223)10/10

Badges

8
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 14.2 entries/market
Whale
$1,591,988 invested
High Roller
$3,242/day
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders

Categories

6
SPORTS#10,575$4,306Vol: $11,463,096
🌤️ WEATHER#299,159$-5,244Vol: $508,232
CRYPTO#1,447,638$-83Vol: $25,541
🏛️ POLITICS#1,436,548$-37Vol: $6,768
📈 ECONOMICS#37,932$12Vol: $200
📢 MENTIONS#119,444$-6Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,050
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,004,357
Total Redeem
$1,176
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2743
total markets
Trades
24167B / 14206S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~226d

Periods

#2
Today
$-306
Vol: $2,530
Week
$-278
Vol: $8,481
Month
$-184
Vol: $10,853
All Time
$-1,050
Vol: $12,004,357

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
1587W / 1154L events
Realized PnL
$-1,050
Win Rate
58%
1587W / 1154L
Profit Factor
2.89x
Avg Win
$182
Avg Loss
$-90

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $197,326 (187.9010912622838% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$185,693
Knicks vs. Clippers$5,975
Pistons vs. Magic$5,659
Nuggets vs. Thunder$3,197
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09?$2,330
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$1,650
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$1,500
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$1,408
Hornets vs. Suns$1,158
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5$1,100

Top Losers

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?$-5,662
Timberwolves vs. Lakers$-5,026
Hornets vs. Trail Blazers$-3,901
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-3,127
Heat vs. Hornets$-2,172
76ers vs. Kings$-2,000
76ers vs. Celtics$-1,971
Grizzlies vs. Bulls$-1,876
Raptors vs. Cavaliers$-1,794
Warriors vs. Rockets$-1,429

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.069
Sortino
0.642
HHI
35
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.116
Kelly %
17.7%
Half-Kelly
8.9%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
6.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
78.2
Very active
Markets / Day
5.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.6m
between trades
Night Trading
57%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
26 min
Avg Trades / Session
84.1

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 3.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)57% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock78 trades/day — mass trading5.6 markets/day — normal94% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.17
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.5%
Mid (20-55c)29.9%
High (>55c)22.6%

Sessions

#12
3/11/2026, 5:09:07 AM15 trades$31,03910 min
3/29/2026, 8:48:58 PM344 trades$24,84074 min
3/21/2026, 9:03:07 PM475 trades$17,087137 min
3/30/2026, 12:45:46 AM33 trades$16,72412 min
3/8/2026, 11:14:33 PM621 trades$15,08032 min
4/1/2026, 4:04:37 AM90 trades$14,22622 min
3/3/2026, 2:39:57 AM29 trades$13,20711 min
4/1/2026, 1:49:41 AM39 trades$12,71722 min
3/23/2026, 9:36:27 PM183 trades$12,53974 min
3/13/2026, 2:17:07 AM27 trades$12,41817 min
3/9/2026, 12:21:43 AM37 trades$12,31630 min
3/26/2026, 9:44:17 PM46 trades$11,83327 min
3/14/2026, 12:44:01 AM40 trades$11,81117 min
2/26/2026, 1:33:56 AM44 trades$11,63239 min
3/5/2026, 1:12:43 AM46 trades$11,27012 min
3/19/2026, 10:17:19 PM57 trades$11,20134 min
3/7/2026, 3:17:57 AM18 trades$11,19711 min
3/24/2026, 1:11:37 AM114 trades$10,76461 min
3/7/2026, 2:22:35 AM13 trades$10,46011 min
3/1/2026, 9:38:09 PM222 trades$10,13829 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-01
01-05
02-10
03-17
05-03
06-10
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 51 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.17/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.5 / M29.9 / H22.6