MessiFan10

@MessiFan10

#2,850,55127

0x37fa5e5370c874152f9f3c0a7e5f01dbcacd1136

~85d· 458 markets · 1481 tradesVol: $78,1722026-08-05 03:05:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (231/457)10.3/20
0.99x (win $8,789 / loss $8,859)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1220/15
Sortino -0.1660/10
$-0.0028 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 287 (457 markets)10/10
36/79 profitable days (46%)3.9/10
Max DD 118% of peak ($931 / $790)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
83% maker orders

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,762,812$-270Vol: $59,859
🏛️ POLITICS#1,371,151$-20Vol: $7,333
💰 FINANCE#593,601$-19Vol: $1,876
🎭 CULTURE#786,330$-122Vol: $1,803
📢 MENTIONS#160,566$-71Vol: $1,185
CRYPTO#288,314$5Vol: $955

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-501
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$78,172
Total Redeem
$332
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
458
total markets
Trades
1218B / 263S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~85d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-501
Vol: $78,172

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
231W / 226L events
Realized PnL
$-501
Win Rate
51%
231W / 226L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-39

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $973 (1.9408726518565789% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$570
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?$221
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?$182
Will Viktor Hovland finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$168
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$157
Magnus Carlsen wins both World Rapid & Blitz Championships?$146
Sidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner$143
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?$142
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-18?$138
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18?$133

Top Losers

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-471
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-04?$-290
Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5$-254
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-25?$-241
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$-156
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-145
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx$-133
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)$-125
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$-123
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$-110

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.006
Sortino
-0.008
HHI
135
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.8%
Top-5 markets
19.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 286s — normal for humanCV 1.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal2.2 markets/day — normal83% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.42
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.6%
Mid (20-55c)41.2%
High (>55c)49.2%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 8:59:46 PM2 trades$1,7500 min
4/19/2026, 5:37:14 PM6 trades$1,5186 min
3/29/2026, 10:09:38 PM12 trades$89715 min
4/22/2026, 2:38:28 PM2 trades$6810 min
4/25/2026, 5:05:24 PM2 trades$5830 min
4/19/2026, 5:30:22 PM2 trades$5700 min
3/8/2026, 5:48:25 AM4 trades$52011 min
3/1/2026, 1:19:07 AM2 trades$3782 min
2/26/2026, 8:54:02 AM1 trades$3580 min
4/29/2026, 11:53:08 PM2 trades$3330 min
4/28/2026, 3:40:06 PM1 trades$3000 min
3/29/2026, 10:42:04 PM4 trades$2981 min
4/4/2026, 10:59:47 PM2 trades$2983 min
4/22/2026, 5:56:10 PM1 trades$2850 min
4/23/2026, 2:53:28 PM2 trades$2850 min
4/23/2026, 3:45:06 PM2 trades$2850 min
2/23/2026, 10:03:10 PM1 trades$2810 min
3/24/2026, 12:26:15 AM6 trades$2616 min
4/23/2026, 1:55:20 AM15 trades$2542 min
4/27/2026, 10:05:50 PM3 trades$2460 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-25
01-29
02-22
03-07
03-22
04-21
05-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 31 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.42/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.6 / M41.2 / H49.2