@Weather-1

#1,288,6989

0x38229672907a3505e13a0a46108e3d9cf744d7e5

~23d· 34 markets · 85 tradesVol: $1,5822026-08-05 17:33:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (6/22)0/20
0.63x (win $58 / loss $93)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5760/15
Sortino -4.9650/10
$-0.1678 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 675 (22 markets)9.1/10
6/22 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 504% of peak ($50 / $10)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
75% entries < $0.55

Categories

3
💰 FINANCE#35,141$27Vol: $1,044
🏛️ POLITICS#1,413,073$-28Vol: $533
📈 ECONOMICS#175,777$0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,582
Total Redeem
$203
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
53B / 32S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1
Vol: $1,582

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
6W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-1
Win Rate
27%
6W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $45 (45.49999999999999% of PnL)

Top Winners

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?$19
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?$16
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 27?$11
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23?$7
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?$6
Will the median home value in the US be less than $420,000 on April 1?$0

Top Losers

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?$-10
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5?$-10
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 15?$-10
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?$-10
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?$-10
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16?$-10
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?$-10
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24?$-5
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 25?$-5
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 31?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.183
Sortino
-0.563
HHI
146
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.302
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
14.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
9s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.6h
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.44
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
28
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 9s — suspiciously fastCV 0.44 — uniform order sizes46% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.95
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.8%
Mid (20-55c)54.7%
High (>55c)24.5%

Sessions

#12
3/7/2026, 2:01:45 PM13 trades$651 min
6/29/2026, 9:55:52 AM17 trades$521 min
6/29/2026, 10:34:55 AM13 trades$400 min
6/15/2026, 1:33:27 AM2 trades$380 min
6/5/2026, 1:33:25 AM2 trades$190 min
5/14/2026, 1:33:26 AM2 trades$160 min
6/17/2026, 1:33:26 AM2 trades$140 min
4/28/2026, 4:43:06 AM2 trades$130 min
5/12/2026, 1:33:26 AM2 trades$110 min
6/16/2026, 1:33:25 AM2 trades$110 min
6/22/2026, 1:33:26 AM2 trades$100 min
4/27/2026, 4:43:06 AM2 trades$100 min
5/8/2026, 4:25:12 PM3 trades$100 min
5/11/2026, 1:33:27 AM2 trades$100 min
6/4/2026, 1:33:27 AM2 trades$100 min
6/11/2026, 1:33:27 AM2 trades$100 min
3/20/2026, 4:43:05 AM1 trades$50 min
3/23/2026, 4:43:09 AM1 trades$50 min
3/24/2026, 4:43:07 AM1 trades$50 min
3/25/2026, 4:43:07 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-07
03-24
03-30
04-28
05-12
06-05
06-16
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 49 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.95/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L20.8 / M54.7 / H24.5