@0x383A68…4863

#2,563,3188

0x383a68c1935e78cb05e6f9e14c9dab3b0e1e1245

~54d· 65 markets · 270 tradesVol: $10,5242026-08-04 19:47:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (15/55)0/20
0.68x (win $492 / loss $729)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9510/15
Sortino -2.2060/10
$-0.2184 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 845 (55 markets)8.3/10
9/33 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 178% of peak ($538 / $301)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,543,723$-140Vol: $9,163
₿ CRYPTO#1,062,626$-6Vol: $580
📈 ECONOMICS#21,585$36Vol: $349
⚽ SPORTS#1,299,063$-8Vol: $333
💰 FINANCE#56,840$9Vol: $74
📢 MENTIONS#23,616$6Vol: $25

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-103
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,524
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
137B / 133S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $41
Month
$-5
Vol: $44
All Time
$-103
Vol: $10,524

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
15W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-103
Win Rate
27%
15W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $301 (2.9357386640663092% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$124
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$83
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$73
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$27
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$24
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$20
Will JD Vance say "Deal" on the Will Cain Show?$17
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?$15
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$6

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-313
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$-146
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$-40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$-29
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-24
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-23
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-14
Lakers vs. Thunder$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.101
Sortino
-0.096
HHI
1463
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.159
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.4%
Top-5 markets
77.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 186s — normal for humanCV 1.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.65
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.7%
Mid (20-55c)19%
High (>55c)42.3%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 6:02:25 PM9 trades$4980 min
6/15/2026, 9:49:55 AM10 trades$2926 min
4/19/2026, 10:15:58 PM5 trades$2220 min
6/5/2026, 8:38:37 AM12 trades$2103 min
4/27/2026, 7:14:40 PM9 trades$1686 min
4/27/2026, 7:06:54 PM2 trades$1570 min
5/7/2026, 11:06:30 PM7 trades$1320 min
6/15/2026, 9:41:37 PM6 trades$1301 min
4/29/2026, 7:18:06 PM13 trades$1189 min
6/9/2026, 8:50:31 PM4 trades$1005 min
5/30/2026, 9:51:50 PM4 trades$890 min
4/22/2026, 1:26:20 PM15 trades$696 min
5/20/2026, 10:08:29 PM2 trades$590 min
5/13/2026, 9:58:17 PM3 trades$570 min
5/5/2026, 12:49:00 PM4 trades$521 min
5/28/2026, 11:51:48 PM4 trades$373 min
3/9/2026, 10:40:17 PM3 trades$346 min
5/12/2026, 10:52:30 AM8 trades$330 min
5/16/2026, 9:51:09 AM2 trades$330 min
5/10/2026, 6:50:03 PM3 trades$290 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-09
03-16
04-27
05-07
05-23
06-05
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 62 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.65/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L38.7 / M19 / H42.3