@0x38805f…4079

#2,158,72540

0x38805f9f68816d3e41f6c4da7d9f3ee0eeab3649

~114d· 168 markets · 532 tradesVol: $36,3742026-08-05 16:38:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (136/163)20/20
0.38x (win $13 / loss $33)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5940/15
Sortino -3.6030/10
$-0.0037 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 119 (163 markets)10/10
69/87 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($27 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Consistent
69/87 profitable days
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,395,625$-13Vol: $8,870
🎭 CULTURE#493,810$-1Vol: $6,066
📈 ECONOMICS#587,918$-8Vol: $5,932
🌤️ WEATHER#59,343$1Vol: $5,484
🏛️ POLITICS#1,087,741$-4Vol: $5,249
💰 FINANCE#410,073$-0Vol: $2,998
₿ CRYPTO#844,309$-1Vol: $1,652
💻 TECH#137,043$-0Vol: $122
📢 MENTIONS#58,742$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-25
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,374
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
168
total markets
Trades
321B / 211S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~114d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-25
Vol: $36,374

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
136W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$-25
Win Rate
83%
136W / 27L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3 (0.10801256873527101% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?$1
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?$1
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?$1
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?$1
Solana above $190 on January 17?$1
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 18–25?$0
Will Abbott Elementary win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$0
Will DeWayne Davis win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$0
Will Nationalist Party win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$0

Top Losers

Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$-8
Will Sevilla FC win La Liga?$-4
Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$-4
Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?$-3
Will Bologna win the UEFA Champions League? $-3
Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?$-3
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$-2
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$-2
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$-2
Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.187
Sortino
-0.115
HHI
136
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
14.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6937s — normal for humanCV 1.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.34
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)94.7%

Sessions

#12
10/26/2025, 7:19:11 AM1 trades$1640 min
10/2/2025, 1:16:03 PM1 trades$1610 min
8/29/2025, 4:10:43 PM1 trades$1610 min
7/30/2025, 4:14:50 PM1 trades$1600 min
8/8/2025, 5:50:55 PM1 trades$1590 min
9/19/2025, 11:25:06 PM1 trades$1590 min
7/22/2025, 5:18:26 PM1 trades$1580 min
9/13/2025, 12:46:05 AM1 trades$1580 min
11/7/2025, 9:23:21 AM1 trades$1520 min
11/8/2025, 1:55:33 PM1 trades$1520 min
11/3/2025, 8:09:51 AM1 trades$1510 min
6/25/2026, 10:30:13 AM8 trades$677 min
5/13/2026, 9:17:26 AM4 trades$633 min
5/15/2026, 12:34:33 PM2 trades$600 min
7/10/2026, 5:47:52 PM2 trades$580 min
6/27/2026, 3:01:31 PM2 trades$550 min
6/27/2026, 12:02:29 PM3 trades$550 min
7/3/2026, 3:10:08 AM3 trades$550 min
7/4/2026, 5:56:38 PM3 trades$530 min
5/16/2026, 1:40:09 AM3 trades$520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-02
03-29
10-27
04-26
05-20
06-18
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
24% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.34/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.3 / M0 / H94.7