Miltonfriedyum

@Miltonfriedyum

#2,155,88776

0x3892004a7c2618f799ec59464d6784542b3d7ae6

~14d· 21 markets · 50 tradesVol: $4,0572026-08-04 22:59:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (19/21)20/20
1.64x (win $33 / loss $20)10.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.75515/15
Sortino 3.24510/10
$+0.0302 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 633 (21 markets)9.3/10
12/14 profitable days (86%)10/10
Max DD 157% of peak ($20 / $13)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 90%
Consistent
12/14 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#265,521$-25Vol: $4,057

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-25
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,057
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
28B / 22S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
19W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$-25
Win Rate
90%
19W / 2L
Profit Factor
1.64x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14 (0.5429362880886427% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 73°F or below on July 13?$7
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?$4
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 11?$3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or below on July 26?$2
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 10?$2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 23?$2
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 30?$2
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on July 13?$2
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 11?$2
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 8?$1

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 15?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.139
Sortino
907.857
HHI
586
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.030
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.3%
Top-5 markets
34.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.4h
between trades
Night Trading
74%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
22
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 7026s — normal for humanCV 0.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)74% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.38
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)3.6%
High (>55c)96.4%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 12:27:59 AM8 trades$890 min
7/13/2026, 12:29:58 AM7 trades$710 min
7/9/2026, 4:19:55 AM2 trades$500 min
7/7/2026, 4:53:14 AM2 trades$270 min
6/30/2026, 5:02:02 AM3 trades$260 min
7/10/2026, 6:07:19 AM2 trades$260 min
7/23/2026, 12:16:51 AM2 trades$260 min
7/26/2026, 12:47:03 AM2 trades$260 min
7/8/2026, 5:18:17 AM1 trades$250 min
7/8/2026, 5:53:25 AM1 trades$250 min
7/13/2026, 12:45:44 AM1 trades$250 min
6/15/2026, 4:31:24 PM2 trades$240 min
7/13/2026, 2:37:38 PM2 trades$180 min
6/28/2026, 3:28:31 AM2 trades$100 min
7/3/2026, 1:49:14 AM2 trades$90 min
6/29/2026, 4:49:13 AM2 trades$50 min
6/29/2026, 1:49:46 PM2 trades$50 min
6/30/2026, 7:43:07 PM2 trades$50 min
6/27/2026, 3:43:43 AM2 trades$50 min
6/29/2026, 3:46:52 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
06-28
06-30
07-07
07-09
07-11
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
85.7% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M3.6 / H96.4