@0x38c7cE…8835

#440,52634

0x38c7ce717189bcd3b463fd7291c37ec972295a76

~19d· 206 markets · 809 tradesVol: $15,1392026-08-04 21:04:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (101/206)9.5/20
1.01x (win $2,930 / loss $2,894)2.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1743.3/15
Sortino 0.2292.3/10
$+0.0041 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 342 (206 markets)10/10
10/19 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 270% of peak ($673 / $249)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+16
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#1,564,944$-41Vol: $14,524

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,139
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
206
total markets
Trades
375B / 434S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
101W / 105L events
Realized PnL
$16
Win Rate
49%
101W / 105L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $687 (42.471861471861466% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$380
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5$157
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$150
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5$139
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$138
Will Tunisia finish last in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$126
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$117
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$109
Netherlands leading at halftime?$86
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5$86

Top Losers

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-219
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 2.5$-205
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-204
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5$-200
England leading at halftime?$-200
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-200
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5$-200
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5$-200
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5$-200
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 0.5$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.009
Sortino
0.011
HHI
415
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.8%
Top-5 markets
30.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
40.5
Active
Markets / Day
10.3
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
51%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 355s — normal for humanCV 1.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)51% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule40 trades/day — high frequency10 markets/day — mass coverage46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.18
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.5%
Mid (20-55c)23.5%
High (>55c)68%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 5:29:35 AM12 trades$9073 min
6/15/2026, 3:20:00 AM6 trades$7174 min
6/25/2026, 11:57:17 PM13 trades$6773 min
6/26/2026, 12:22:02 AM11 trades$6574 min
6/20/2026, 12:00:20 AM2 trades$4990 min
6/17/2026, 8:37:14 PM8 trades$4341 min
6/15/2026, 5:06:46 AM2 trades$3770 min
6/22/2026, 3:03:04 AM2 trades$3730 min
6/18/2026, 11:39:10 PM2 trades$2850 min
6/25/2026, 11:48:53 PM2 trades$2850 min
6/17/2026, 2:24:31 AM2 trades$2830 min
6/16/2026, 11:40:55 PM2 trades$2790 min
6/21/2026, 7:14:53 PM12 trades$2717 min
6/22/2026, 9:47:46 PM2 trades$2640 min
6/17/2026, 4:51:19 AM4 trades$2640 min
6/23/2026, 12:45:04 AM4 trades$2601 min
6/24/2026, 8:12:17 PM3 trades$2590 min
6/12/2026, 4:28:58 AM2 trades$2430 min
6/21/2026, 6:00:02 AM17 trades$2410 min
6/12/2026, 8:23:01 PM4 trades$2250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-11
06-14
06-17
06-20
06-23
06-26
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.5 / M23.5 / H68