@0x38F2DE…4408

#2,684,35711

0x38f2de66652b6600646e0fe8fa57f1980c118690

~53d· 77 markets · 502 tradesVol: $15,1822026-08-05 16:37:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (17/60)0/20
0.28x (win $286 / loss $1,007)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.4290/15
Sortino -6.3090/10
$-0.4097 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 529 (60 markets)9.9/10
12/35 profitable days (34%)1.1/10
Max DD 2244% of peak ($792 / $35)0/10

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#254,219$-15Vol: $5,552
🏛️ POLITICS#902,317$-1Vol: $5,063
💰 FINANCE#624,886$-66Vol: $1,930
₿ CRYPTO#1,382,910$-48Vol: $1,636
⚽ SPORTS#1,616,117$-59Vol: $805
📈 ECONOMICS#61,415$5Vol: $88
🎭 CULTURE#86,714$6Vol: $82

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-176
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,182
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
77
total markets
Trades
183B / 319S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~53d

Periods

#2
Today
$-32
Vol: $31
Week
$36
Vol: $988
Month
$35
Vol: $988
All Time
$-176
Vol: $15,182

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
17W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$-176
Win Rate
28%
17W / 43L
Profit Factor
0.28x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $154 (0.8735117360244925% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 20?$72
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?$53
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$29
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 28?$27
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$13
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$12
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 3?$10
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12?$8

Top Losers

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$-186
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-165
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 23?$-104
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$-77
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-68
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24?$-60
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-48
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$-47
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-38
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.332
Sortino
-0.303
HHI
332
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.422
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.6%
Top-5 markets
29.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
44.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2673s — normal for humanCV 1.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.55
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.9%
Mid (20-55c)12%
High (>55c)66.1%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 11:22:46 AM8 trades$6030 min
6/10/2026, 7:42:13 AM14 trades$2562 min
7/1/2026, 1:36:53 PM19 trades$1980 min
6/11/2026, 5:34:06 PM14 trades$1826 min
7/23/2026, 10:54:51 PM7 trades$1634 min
7/23/2026, 10:03:40 AM15 trades$1320 min
5/21/2026, 2:49:29 PM19 trades$1298 min
5/24/2026, 8:10:10 PM17 trades$1199 min
6/7/2026, 4:25:00 PM3 trades$1180 min
7/20/2026, 4:40:21 PM3 trades$1120 min
5/20/2026, 9:16:37 AM5 trades$1080 min
7/23/2026, 8:15:28 AM4 trades$1010 min
6/14/2026, 3:11:34 PM7 trades$991 min
6/16/2026, 7:33:49 PM4 trades$950 min
5/28/2026, 10:03:42 AM6 trades$920 min
6/14/2026, 1:06:07 PM5 trades$842 min
7/24/2026, 12:00:28 PM2 trades$830 min
7/23/2026, 1:09:06 PM22 trades$790 min
7/15/2026, 1:00:20 PM2 trades$750 min
6/18/2026, 2:14:58 PM6 trades$740 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-17
05-26
06-09
06-14
06-20
07-11
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 62 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.55/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.9 / M12 / H66.1