@Predictdubs
#2,909,967220x39125537d8086fe9d7a8c2457166e30bb43bc081
~39d· 142 markets · 578 tradesVol: $179,5862026-08-04 22:10:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (68/142)8.9/20
0.65x (win $2,430 / loss $3,716)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.6050/15
Sortino -5.1340/10
$-0.1242 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 232 (142 markets)10/10
13/32 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 330% of peak ($1,845 / $559)0/10
Badges
3Contrarian
69% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3⚽ SPORTS#1,792,076$-472Vol: $131,570
₿ CRYPTO#1,577,718$-385Vol: $45,724
🏛️ POLITICS#1,052,956$-3Vol: $632
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-861
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$179,586
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
142
total markets
Trades
205B / 373S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
68W / 74L events
Realized PnL
$-861
Win Rate
48%
68W / 74L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$36
Avg Loss
$-58
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $629 (0.7300595687362835% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-07?$336
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$150
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$142
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 11.5 Total Corners$135
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$114
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$112
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?$86
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$72
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$67
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11AM ET$62
Top Losers
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-319
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12PM ET$-300
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1PM ET$-262
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-180
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-148
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-116
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-114
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6PM ET$-106
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-99
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5$-84
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.237
Sortino
-0.277
HHI
294
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.109
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.4%
Top-5 markets
25.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 184s — normal for humanCV 1.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.75
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21%
Mid (20-55c)48.3%
High (>55c)30.7%
Sessions
#122/2/2026, 4:02:48 PM3 trades$1,2825 min
2/4/2026, 4:12:37 PM7 trades$1,0614 min
2/2/2026, 12:01:54 PM21 trades$8541 min
2/2/2026, 11:03:22 AM16 trades$7684 min
2/2/2026, 3:09:50 AM8 trades$6622 min
6/15/2026, 9:26:18 AM11 trades$6014 min
2/1/2026, 4:25:36 PM8 trades$5655 min
6/14/2026, 4:56:52 PM14 trades$5551 min
2/1/2026, 9:00:56 AM8 trades$5024 min
2/2/2026, 4:40:00 PM8 trades$4920 min
6/22/2026, 7:33:13 PM9 trades$4911 min
2/2/2026, 2:02:26 AM19 trades$4473 min
2/1/2026, 6:03:56 AM10 trades$4198 min
2/2/2026, 8:30:32 PM15 trades$4060 min
2/2/2026, 8:04:52 PM1 trades$3900 min
2/1/2026, 5:15:50 AM6 trades$3750 min
2/2/2026, 4:45:34 AM9 trades$3621 min
2/2/2026, 4:19:40 AM1 trades$3420 min
2/1/2026, 2:06:08 AM5 trades$3381 min
2/1/2026, 1:29:50 AM9 trades$3071 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-03
12-20
01-31
06-11
06-17
06-23
07-03
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 155 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.75/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L21 / M48.3 / H30.7