@forestnrain
#2,638,496270x39338476e04c62d6bacc706646e274855076026b
~54d· 108 markets · 239 tradesVol: $15,0742026-08-04 23:42:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
51% (49/96)10.5/20
0.88x (win $645 / loss $735)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0600/15
Sortino -1.4390/10
$-0.0326 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 328 (96 markets)10/10
21/40 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 576% of peak ($304 / $53)0/10
Categories
9🌤️ WEATHER#284,072$-93Vol: $6,663
⚽ SPORTS#162,011$52Vol: $2,111
🏛️ POLITICS#1,514,457$-95Vol: $2,005
₿ CRYPTO#1,413,428$-61Vol: $1,923
🎭 CULTURE#34,919$39Vol: $1,582
📈 ECONOMICS#628,467$-20Vol: $373
💰 FINANCE#29,238$40Vol: $280
💻 TECH#21,528$7Vol: $106
📢 MENTIONS#128,904$-10Vol: $30
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-140
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,074
Total Redeem
$38
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
108
total markets
Trades
138B / 101S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d
Periods
#2Today
$-82
Vol: $1,428
Week
$-74
Vol: $3,616
Month
$-78
Vol: $4,532
All Time
$-140
Vol: $15,074
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
51%
49W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$-140
Win Rate
51%
49W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-16
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $347 (2.4809809809809806% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$266
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$45
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$36
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$36
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$27
Cardano ETF in 2025?$24
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?$20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 23?$20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 22?$18
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$14
Top Losers
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-91
US government shutdown Saturday?$-60
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-42
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-39
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?$-39
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$-38
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-32
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-26
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-25
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$-25
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.055
Sortino
-0.063
HHI
244
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9%
Top-5 markets
25.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 382s — normal for humanCV 1.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.19
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)16.7%
Mid (20-55c)27.5%
High (>55c)55.8%
Sessions
#127/20/2026, 1:35:01 AM11 trades$6003 min
7/15/2026, 10:22:40 PM8 trades$3521 min
7/28/2026, 10:49:29 AM6 trades$3000 min
7/28/2026, 10:18:50 AM7 trades$1251 min
11/3/2025, 9:23:49 PM2 trades$1234 min
7/27/2026, 9:28:28 PM12 trades$1221 min
11/3/2025, 8:43:43 PM2 trades$1201 min
12/1/2025, 7:12:56 AM2 trades$1131 min
10/28/2025, 9:33:13 AM2 trades$1003 min
11/3/2025, 8:51:09 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/14/2025, 2:08:00 AM1 trades$1000 min
11/14/2025, 2:22:12 AM1 trades$1000 min
12/11/2025, 1:56:19 AM5 trades$974 min
11/6/2024, 1:21:41 PM1 trades$960 min
11/9/2024, 5:01:21 PM1 trades$950 min
8/3/2026, 6:49:33 PM3 trades$930 min
11/5/2025, 2:59:57 AM3 trades$912 min
11/5/2025, 4:22:55 AM6 trades$882 min
5/14/2026, 5:10:40 AM6 trades$863 min
11/9/2025, 3:39:47 AM2 trades$780 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
11-03
11-28
01-14
01-21
01-29
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 248 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.7 / M27.5 / H55.8