@lilian9-213

#2,688,78110

0x395cf1220d543fbc7dcfb9157a50c23b22855b0c

~48d· 121 markets · 279 tradesVol: $62,6732026-08-05 03:28:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (32/114)0/20
0.37x (win $92 / loss $252)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.8820/15
Sortino -4.1080/10
$-0.0052 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 899 (114 markets)8/10
17/43 profitable days (40%)2.4/10
Max DD 2228% of peak ($176 / $8)0/10

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,370,297$-19Vol: $27,727
⚽ SPORTS#1,467,960$-21Vol: $27,085
💰 FINANCE#594,786$-20Vol: $3,854
₿ CRYPTO#1,466,997$-99Vol: $2,706
🎭 CULTURE#730,788$-22Vol: $691
📈 ECONOMICS#427,521$-0Vol: $461
💻 TECH#156,631$-0Vol: $18

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-182
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$62,673
Total Redeem
$5
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
121
total markets
Trades
153B / 126S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-182
Vol: $62,673

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
32W / 82L events
Realized PnL
$-182
Win Rate
28%
32W / 82L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $62 (0.339701591146837% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?$27
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in July?$22
Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?$13
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?$8
Will Ethereum reach $2700 in July?$8
Will Ekaterina Alexandrova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$5
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?$3
Will Ethereum reach $2600 in July?$2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?$-53
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?$-36
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?$-30
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?$-29
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$-26
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$-23
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 12?$-18
Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship?$-7
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$-4
Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.201
Sortino
-0.173
HHI
334
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
14.5%
Half-Kelly
7.2%
Top-1 market
13.6%
Top-5 markets
34.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
36.9m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — normal for humanCV 2.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.44
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.2%
Mid (20-55c)3.9%
High (>55c)88.9%

Sessions

#12
12/19/2024, 6:14:24 AM55 trades$14,29630 min
9/21/2025, 5:22:42 PM4 trades$8,6692 min
9/21/2025, 4:48:02 PM3 trades$8,4431 min
9/21/2025, 5:34:10 PM1 trades$4,3360 min
9/21/2025, 4:05:46 PM2 trades$4,2360 min
7/1/2026, 11:13:59 AM9 trades$4,0262 min
7/1/2026, 11:37:10 AM7 trades$2,1231 min
7/1/2026, 10:57:05 AM6 trades$2,0751 min
3/28/2025, 10:07:42 AM5 trades$2663 min
3/12/2026, 4:42:05 AM2 trades$2611 min
3/28/2025, 10:20:42 AM5 trades$2604 min
2/27/2025, 2:02:46 PM4 trades$2405 min
2/28/2025, 10:02:37 AM4 trades$2391 min
1/2/2026, 5:17:17 PM2 trades$2364 min
12/13/2024, 3:30:49 PM6 trades$2327 min
3/12/2026, 5:43:51 AM13 trades$2318 min
3/12/2026, 3:42:49 AM1 trades$1880 min
3/12/2026, 4:35:17 AM1 trades$1880 min
3/12/2026, 5:11:35 AM1 trades$1700 min
12/17/2024, 8:21:56 AM3 trades$1521 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-13
03-28
05-11
07-02
09-21
02-16
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 481 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.2 / M3.9 / H88.9