@ColdFrontCapital

#2,654,29743

0x397c4f086755ecf5311a994c12970287ef9cca1b

~62d· 1339 markets · 6568 tradesVol: $250,4022026-08-04 18:17:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (285/1338)0/20
1.03x (win $13,851 / loss $13,462)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.75314.1/15
Sortino 1.09710/10
$+0.0169 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 16 (1338 markets)10/10
30/61 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 163% of peak ($1,261 / $776)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#284,765$-98Vol: $248,335
SPORTS#1,598,917$-52Vol: $2,068

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-151
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$250,402
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1339
total markets
Trades
2635B / 3933S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $1,396
Week
$5
Vol: $3,696
Month
$6
Vol: $5,401
All Time
$-151
Vol: $250,402

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
285W / 1053L events
Realized PnL
$-151
Win Rate
21%
285W / 1053L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$49
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $624 (4.141606420375407% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?$245
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 18?$201
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12?$179
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 20?$178
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 29?$173
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?$169
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?$165
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?$161
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 23?$154
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 16?$141

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 12?$-140
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 18?$-137
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 14?$-134
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 13?$-119
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12?$-113
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?$-98
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 19?$-87

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.039
Sortino
0.053
HHI
22
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
4.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
85.3
Very active
Markets / Day
17.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
44.9m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.0

Bot Detection

#6
80
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
41% gaps < 3s — suspicious speedCV 1.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock85 trades/day — mass trading17 markets/day — mass coverage40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.91
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.9%
Mid (20-55c)47.9%
High (>55c)9.1%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 12:01:42 AM149 trades$1,27133 min
6/17/2026, 6:32:14 PM75 trades$1,09914 min
6/20/2026, 12:23:25 PM24 trades$7261 min
6/16/2026, 2:00:59 PM99 trades$6847 min
7/8/2026, 12:32:41 PM41 trades$62910 min
6/24/2026, 1:09:49 PM9 trades$6101 min
6/18/2026, 12:24:29 PM27 trades$6005 min
6/20/2026, 4:37:56 AM34 trades$5765 min
6/29/2026, 6:16:37 PM9 trades$5731 min
6/21/2026, 5:10:52 PM18 trades$5592 min
6/19/2026, 12:50:25 PM25 trades$5545 min
7/9/2026, 9:03:38 PM15 trades$4991 min
6/20/2026, 4:51:26 PM28 trades$4973 min
7/9/2026, 3:25:34 AM11 trades$4780 min
6/21/2026, 1:01:07 PM12 trades$4492 min
6/19/2026, 2:27:31 PM33 trades$44412 min
7/14/2026, 12:00:59 PM11 trades$4341 min
6/18/2026, 5:43:32 PM3 trades$4020 min
6/14/2026, 11:44:34 PM35 trades$3974 min
7/10/2026, 12:26:05 PM8 trades$3911 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-18
06-10
06-20
06-30
07-10
07-21
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.91/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.9 / M47.9 / H9.1